Official NCEP FVS Smoke Verification Using GOES AOD Product

The following verification products are made available for evaluation purposes only. For a history of model changes refer to the smoke forecast model change log. This evaluation consists of a GIS shapefile match between the smoke plumes derived by a NOAA NESDIS satellite analyst using the Hazard Mapping System (HMS) and the HYSPLIT modeled smoke (PM2.5) concentration shapefiles.

• Smoke Verification of CONUS Operational Forecast
• Smoke Verification of Alaska Operational Forecast
• Smoke Verification of Hawaii Operational Forecast

For current smoke forecasts, see https://www.nws.noaa.gov/aq/.

For ensemble smoke forecasts, see Probabilistic smoke products.

For further information, see https://www.arl.noaa.gov/hysplit/smoke-forecasting/