16.1 Volcanic Eruptions




In this example we will configure the model to simulate the Eyjafjallajokull eruption that started 14 April 2010 following a real-time scenario which means that the model is run in steps with every new forecast cycle, incorporating the ash emitted during previous simulations. Each new simulation may be specified with a different release height or emission rate.

  1. To simplify the setup, start by retrieving the example control_volc.txt control file from the \Tutorial\volcano directory. We will review the key elements of the configuration. If this tutorial is being run through the web rather from a CD, it will be necessary to download the meteorological data file apr1420.bin for this example. Any pre-configured CONTROL files used in this example will need to be edited to point to the location of the downloaded data file.

  2. Open the starting locations menu and note how the two locations are identical in horizontal position (63.63N 19.62W) but with different height. The model interprets this as a vertical line source and will distribute particles uniformly through the layer 100 to 6000 meters AGL.

  3. Open the pollutant menu and note that four pollutants are defined. Lets assume a mass release rate of 10,000 kT/hr which means that if we set the emission rate to the equivalent 1.0E+16 μg/hr then the output units will be μg/m3. Note there are four pollutants defined, each representing a different particle size:

    LABELDiameterPercentRelease Rate
    P006 0.6μm 1%0.008E+16
    P020 2.0μm 7%0.068E+16
    P060 6.0μm 25%0.250E+16
    P20020.0μm 67%0.670E+16

    We will only run the model for 12 hours at a time and therefore emissions are all set to 12 hours. Check the other three pollutants to insure that the settings follow the table suggestions.

  4. Open the grid definition menu where only one vertical level has been defined resulting in average concentrations in the layer from the ground to 10,000 meters. Six hour average air concentrations will be output because we will focus on the particle display output. However, if you want to create animations, a more frequent interval could be set.

  5. The last menu in this section defines deposition for each of the four pollutants. For instance, in the pollutant #1 (P006) menu, the particle diameter is set to 0.6μm assuming a density of 2.5 g/cc for a spherical particle (1.0). Gravitational settling is computed based upon the previous values. The within cloud (8.0E-05 /s) and below-cloud (8.0E-05 /s) wet removal coefficients will be applied to the local ash concentration and precipitation rate for each grid cell. Except for the particle diameter, these values are also applied to the other pollutants.

  6. Save to close the setup run menu and open the Advanced / Concentration / Configuration menu and retrieve the setup_volc.txt file. There were only two changes to the default values. First the particle number release rate and maximum was raised to 5,000 and 50,000. Second, the input and output of the particle files was set to 12 hours.

  7. Save the changes, run the model for 12 hours, and then open the particle display menu to view the ash plume valid at 1200 UTC 14 April 2010. Note how the particles are evenly distributed in the vertical layer.

  8. To complete the exercise, open the concentration display menu and check the All radio-button to sum the four particle sizes into the same graphic. Also fix the concentration contour intervals (100+50+20+10) and units of ug to get the final plume display.

The volcanic ash plume simulation is only an approximation of the actual event to illustrate the process for multiple particle sizes. In the next section, we will continue the calculation for another 24 hours.