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ms hazard


Office: JAN

FLUS44 KJAN 191940
HWOJAN

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
240 PM CDT Sun Aug 19 2018

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-025-MSZ018-019-025>051-053-
201945-
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Richland-
Madison LA-Franklin LA-Tensas-Bolivar-Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-
Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-
Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Attala-Winston-Noxubee-Issaquena-
Sharkey-Yazoo-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Warren-Hinds-Rankin-
Scott-Newton-Claiborne-
240 PM CDT Sun Aug 19 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, north central
Mississippi, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Monday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight through Monday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Marginal
TIMING...Monday into Monday night

A very moist airmass will continue to promote heavy rainfall and
flooding in thunderstorms this evening and those that develop
Monday. Two to three inches an hour rainfall rates will be common
where the heaviest storms occur which could easily lead to flash
flooding.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Isolated severe thunderstorms will be possible Monday afternoon
into Monday night as a cold front moves into the area. Damaging
wind gusts and up to quarter size hail will be the main severe
weather threats.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Saturday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Monday
through Monday night.

$$

LAZ024-026-MSZ052-054>066-072>074-201945-
Catahoula-Concordia-Lauderdale-Copiah-Simpson-Smith-Jasper-Clarke-
Jefferson-Adams-Franklin MS-Lincoln-Lawrence-Jefferson Davis-
Covington-Jones-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
240 PM CDT Sun Aug 19 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, central Mississippi, east central Mississippi, and
south central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Monday

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight through Monday

A very moist airmass will continue to promote heavy rainfall and
flooding in thunderstorms this evening and those that develop
Monday. Two to three inches an hour rainfall rates will be common
where the heaviest storms occur which could easily lead to flash
flooding.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday night through Saturday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations is not expected through next Saturday.

$$

26

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms are expected.
Moderate...Severe storms expected with significant
 severe weather possible.
Enhanced...Severe storms expected.
Slight...Severe storms possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe storms possible.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Confident in significant flooding.
Significant...Significant flooding possible.
Elevated...Confident in flooding.
Limited...Flooding possible.


...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Tropical page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/srh/tropical?office=jan
National Hurricane Center Home Page...
   https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html


Office: MEG FLUS44 KMEG 200022 AAA HWOMEG Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Memphis TN 722 PM CDT Sun Aug 19 2018 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-210230- Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay- Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur- Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood- Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lawrence- Lee AR-Lee MS-Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion- Panola-Pemiscot-Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman- Randolph-Shelby-St. Francis-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton- Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley-Yalobusha- 722 PM CDT Sun Aug 19 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas... the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee. .DAY ONE...Tonight Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms are possible through early Monday morning west of the Mississippi River. Gusty winds to a damaging wind gust and localized heavy rain are the main threats. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday Confidence is increasing for strong to severe thunderstorms across all of the Mid South Monday afternoon into Monday evening. Damaging winds and heavy rainfall are the primary severe weather threats. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation may be needed in support of severe weather operations Monday afternoon into Monday evening. $$
Office: LIX FLUS44 KLIX 190906 HWOLIX Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service New Orleans LA 406 AM CDT Sun Aug 19 2018 GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037- 039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-192115- Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas-Mississippi Sound- Lake Borgne-Chandeleur Sound-Breton Sound- Coastal Waters from Port Fourchon LA to Lower Atchafalaya River LA out 20 nm- Coastal waters from the Southwest Pass of the Mississippi River to Port Fourchon Louisiana out 20 NM- Coastal Waters from Boothville LA to Southwest Pass of the Mississippi River out 20 nm- Coastal waters from Pascagoula Mississippi to Stake Island out 20 NM- Coastal waters from Port Fourchon Louisiana to Lower Atchafalaya River LA from 20 to 60 NM- Coastal waters from Southwest Pass of the Mississippi River to Port Fourchon Louisiana from 20 to 60 NM- Coastal Waters from Stake Island LA to Southwest Pass of the Mississippi River from 20 to 60 nm- Coastal waters from Pascagoula Mississippi to Stake Island Louisiana out 20 to 60 NM-Pointe Coupee-West Feliciana- East Feliciana-St. Helena-Washington-St. Tammany-Iberville- West Baton Rouge-East Baton Rouge-Ascension-Livingston-Assumption- St. James-St. John The Baptist-Upper Lafourche-St. Charles- Upper Jefferson-Orleans-Upper Plaquemines-Upper St. Bernard- Upper Terrebonne-Lower Terrebonne-Lower Lafourche-Lower Jefferson- Lower Plaquemines-Lower St. Bernard-Northern Tangipahoa- Southern Tangipahoa-Wilkinson-Amite-Pike-Walthall-Pearl River- Hancock-Harrison-Jackson- 406 AM CDT Sun Aug 19 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Southeast Louisiana...South Mississippi and the adjacent coastal waters. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected today, lingering into the evening hours. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are expected to redevelop before sunrise Monday near the coast. A few storms could be strong, with gusty winds and frequent lightning. Waterspouts will remain possible over the coastal waters. There will be potential for locally heavy rainfall amounts where repeat thunderstorms occur today, as the storms will be slow moving. This could occur almost anywhere over southeast Louisiana or southern Mississippi. A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for areas immediately to the south of Lake Pontchartrain through Monday. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday A Flash Flood Watch has been issued for areas immediately south of Lake Pontchartrain through Monday. Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected Monday and Tuesday, with storms diminishing in number by Wednesday or Thursday into the weekend. A few storms could become strong each day, producing gusty winds, frequent lightning and brief heavy rainfall. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time. $$
Office: MOB FLUS44 KMOB 190916 HWOMOB Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Mobile AL 416 AM CDT Sun Aug 19 2018 ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-200930- Choctaw-Washington-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw- Escambia-Covington-Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Mobile Central- Baldwin Central-Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Inland- Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Inland-Santa Rosa Coastal- Okaloosa Inland-Okaloosa Coastal-Wayne-Perry-Greene-Stone-George- 416 AM CDT Sun Aug 19 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Alabama, southwest Alabama, northwest Florida and southeast Mississippi. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. There is a moderate risk for rip currents today. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. A moderate risk for rip currents will continue into Monday. Otherwise, no hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$ GMZ630>636-650-655-670-675-200930- Northern Mobile Bay-Southern Mobile Bay-Mississippi Sound- Perdido Bay-Pensacola Bay System-Western Choctawhatchee Bay- Eastern Choctawhatchee Bay- Coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM- Coastal waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL out 20 NM-Waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL from 20 to 60 NM- 416 AM CDT Sun Aug 19 2018 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the coastal waters of Alabama and northwest Florida. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. $$ JLH