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tx fire


FNUS74 KMAF 222247
FWSMAF

Spot Forecast for Keller...NM-LNF
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
547 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 MDT on May 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Winds will generally be from the southeast tonight and Wednesday but
gusty and erratic winds may occur around thunderstorms tonight, and
again Wednesday afternoon, if not heavy rainfall.  Recovery will be
good tonight, followed by minimum RH around 25% Wednesday afternoon,
and a high temperature near normal.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely.
LAL.................9-15 strikes.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 14 mph decreasing to
                    4 to 7 mph late tonight.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......5100-6200 ft AGL decreasing to 0-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 very low.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).60     60     60     60     60     60
LAL.............3      3      3      3      3      3
Temp............76     71     68     67     63     63
RH..............39     53     63     63     70     70
20 FT wind dir..SE     SW     S      SE     SE     SE
20 FT wind spd..12     13     11      9      7      5
20 FT wind gust.20
Mix hgt (ft)....6200   3700   1300   100    100    200
Transp wind dir.SE     SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
Transp wind spd.14     17     18     17     14     10
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
LAL.................9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds increasing to 7 to 13 mph. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......200-1500 ft AGL increasing to 10400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 very low.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).30        30        30        30
LAL.............3         3         3         3
Temp............64        63        79        82
RH..............67        70        42        28
20 FT wind dir..SE        SE        SE        SE
20 FT wind spd..4          6         9        10
20 FT wind gust.                              16
Mix hgt (ft)....200       1500      6200      9100
Transp wind dir.SE        SE        S         S
Transp wind spd.8         12        13        15
Haines index....3         3         3         3

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
LAL.................9-15 strikes.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......9800 ft AGL decreasing to 0-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 7 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 OR very low to low.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky cover.......PCLDY     PCLDY     MCLEAR    MCLEAR
Weather cov.....S CHC     S CHC     S CHC     S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC     S CHC     S CHC     S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20        20        20        20
LAL.............3         3         3         3
Temp............80        71        68        64
RH..............33        51        57        63
20 FT wind dir..SE        SE        SE        SE
20 FT wind spd..11        12        10         7
20 FT wind gust.          17
Mix hgt (ft)....9800      800       300       BLW100
Transp wind dir.S         SE        SE        SE
Transp wind spd.13        14        12        7
Haines index....3         3         4         3

$$
Forecaster...Lyster
Requested by...IC (t) Bryce Dowdy
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1810503.0/MAF
.DELDT 05/22/18