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FNUS54 KMRX 190802 PZB
FWFMRX
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.02         0.12
LAL                   3            2            3
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6600                      5800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   5100                      4300
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 13                     S 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    85800                     87000
Dispersion            53 Gen good               57 Gen good
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  8 G16                 SE  7 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  8        SE  6        S  9 G17

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-200915-
East Tennessee District West-
402 AM EDT Thu Jul 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      85-90 (+1)   65-70 (+3)   83-88
RH % (24h trend)      46-51 (+1)   94-99 (+9)   51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  6 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           50
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.01         0.19
LAL                   3            2            3
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6400                      5500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   5100                      4200
Transport wnd (mph)   S  9                      S 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    57600                     93500
Dispersion            41 Gen good               63 Good
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     E  5                      S  8 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  7         SE  5        SW 10

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid
60s to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
mid 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
mid 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-200915-
Cumberland District South-
402 AM EDT Thu Jul 19 2018 /302 AM CDT Thu Jul 19 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      86-91 (+1)   67-72 (+4)   84-89
RH % (24h trend)      48-53 (-2)   92-97 (+8)   54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  5         LGT/VAR      S  8 G17
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          5 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.03         0.01         0.15
LAL                   2            2            3
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6200                      5000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   5100                      3900
Transport wnd (mph)   S  9                      S 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    55800                     80000
Dispersion            40 Fair                   54 Gen good
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  6         SE  6        S 10 G17

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows near 70.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 80s to lower 90s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 80s to lower
90s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 80s. South winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

FNUS54 KMRX 190802 PAA
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
402 AM EDT Thu Jul 19 2018

.DISCUSSION...

The chance for showers and thunderstorms will increase across the
area this afternoon with best chance over higher elevations.
Then...a strong low pressure system will be approaching the area on
Friday. Ahead of this system...expected a line of thunderstorms to
develop and move through the Southern Appalachian Region.  Some of
these storms may become severe with strong...damaging wind and large
hail the greatest threat.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-200915-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
402 AM EDT Thu Jul 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      81-86 (+2)   62-67 (+5)   80-85
RH % (24h trend)      45-50 (+2)   93-98 (+8)   51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  6                     SE  7 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  6        SE  5        S  8 G20
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          5 PM         5 AM         Continuing
Precip end            8 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.01         0.14
LAL                   2            2            3
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6900                      6400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4900                      4300
Transport wnd (mph)   S 13                      S 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    89700                     108800
Dispersion            52 Gen good               64 Good
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  8                     SE  9 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  8        SE  6        S 11 G20

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
lower 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-200915-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
402 AM EDT Thu Jul 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      77-82 (-2)   60-65 (+4)   77-82
RH % (24h trend)      48-53 (+2)   93-98 (0)    52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  8 G21                 SE  8 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  8 G18    SE  7 G17    S  8 G20
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.02         0.12
LAL                   3            3            3
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6400                      6300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3700                      3600
Transport wnd (mph)   S 14                      S 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    89600                     113400
Dispersion            45 Gen good               55 Gen good
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE 11 G21                 SE 10 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  9 G18    SE  8 G17    S 11 G20

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the 50s to upper 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
50s to upper 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to mid 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-200915-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
402 AM EDT Thu Jul 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      78-83 (0)    62-67 (+4)   77-82
RH % (24h trend)      49-54 (-4)   92-97 (0)    53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  8 G18                  S  8 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G18     SE  7 G17    S  7 G17
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           20           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.04         0.03         0.09
LAL                   3            3            3
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6200                      6300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3200                      3300
Transport wnd (mph)   S 13                      S 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    80600                     100800
Dispersion            31 Fair                   42 Gen good
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G18                  S 10 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G18     SE  8 G17    S  8 G17

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the 50s
to upper 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 60s to
mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
mid 50s to upper 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 60s
to lower 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 60s to mid 80s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-200915-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
402 AM EDT Thu Jul 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      83-88 (0)    64-69 (+3)   82-87
RH % (24h trend)      50-55 (-1)   95-100 (+2)  53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  6 G16                 S  7 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G16     SE  6        S  7 G16
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.05         0.04         0.10
LAL                   3            3            3
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6500                      5700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4500                      3700
Transport wnd (mph)   S 10                      S 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    65000                     96900
Dispersion            42 Gen good               52 Gen good
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  8 G16                 S  9 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G16     SE  8        S  9

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the 60s
to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-200915-
Nantahala National Forest-
402 AM EDT Thu Jul 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      79-84 (-4)   63-68 (+3)   80-85
RH % (24h trend)      54-59 (+3)   95-100 (-1)  55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  7 G16                 SE  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  7 G15    SE  5        S  6
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           30           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.05         0.05         0.07
LAL                   3            3            3
LASI/Haines           4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6700                      6200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4500                      4000
Transport wnd (mph)   SE 10                     S 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    67000                     93000
Dispersion            41 Gen good               49 Gen good
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  8 G16                 SE  7
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE  9        SE  7        S  7

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
mid 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the
60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-200915-
East Tennessee District East-
402 AM EDT Thu Jul 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      83-88 (+1)   63-68 (+4)   83-88
RH % (24h trend)      45-50 (+2)   94-99 (+6)   47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  6 G16                 SE  6 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  6        LGT/VAR      S  8 G17
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           40
Precip duration       1            1            1