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ky fire


FNUS53 KJKL 202105
FWFJKL

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Eastern Kentucky
National Weather Service Jackson KY
405 PM EST Tue Nov 20 2018

.DISCUSSION...As high pressure builds into the area drier air
will bring an end to the lingering sprinkles and low clouds. Later
tonight, clearing skies will allow temperatures to fall into the
mid and upper 20s for lows. Temperatures will remain some 10
degrees below seasonal normals for Wednesday, despite a return of
sunshine, as the drier airmass keeps RH values lower as well, in
the upper 40 to mid 50 percent range. Look for this trend to
continue into Thursday and Friday before moisture and rain
chances return to start the weekend ahead of the next area of low
pressure.

KYZ068-079-083-084-210930-
Rockcastle-Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
Including the cities of Brodhead, Mount Vernon, Burnside,
Somerset, Monticello, Stearns, and Whitley City
405 PM EST Tue Nov 20 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thanksgiving Day

Cloud Cover           PCldy        MClear       MClear       MClear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Temp (24H TREND)      24-29 (-9)   46-47 (+4)   25-31        49-52
Rh % (24H TREND)      92-100 (+1)  49-52 (-17)  92-100       52-55
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    W 2-6                     Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      W 2-6        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index (MID)                 4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 2200                      2200
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  8                     W  7
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  14439                     13734
ADI Early             6 Very Poor  22 Fair      5 Very Poor  16 Gen Poor
ADI Late              25 Fair      23 Fair      2 Very Poor  20 Gen Poor
Max LVORI Early       6            5            6            8
Max LVORI Late        7            3            9            3

REMARKS...RANGES OF MIN T EXCEEDING 8 DEGREES & RANGES OF MAX RH
EXCEEDING 10% INDICATE THE LIKELIHOOD OF THERMAL BELTS. ADI IS
ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. DISPERSION INDEX IS
MAGNITUDE OF VENT RATE DIVIDED BY 1000.

$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-210930-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Elliott-
Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Martin-
Including the cities of Flemingsburg, Camargo, Jeffersonville,
Mount Sterling, Owingsville, Morehead, Irvine, Ravenna,
Clay City, Stanton, Frenchburg, Sandy Hook, West Liberty,
Paintsville, Campton, Salyersville, and Inez
405 PM EST Tue Nov 20 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thanksgiving Day

Cloud Cover           PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Temp (24H TREND)      25-31 (-8)   45-46 (+4)   27-33        42-45
Rh % (24H TREND)      85-100 (0)   51-56 (-19)  92-100       59-64
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    SW 3-7                    Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       W 2-6        W 3-7        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index (MID)                 3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 2400                      2700
Transport wnd (mph)                W 12                      W  8
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  23446                     19727
ADI Early             8 Poor       32 Fair      5 Very Poor  20 Gen Poor
ADI Late              33 Fair      33 Fair      2 Very Poor  26 Fair
Max LVORI Early       4            4            6            9
Max LVORI Late        5            3            9            3

REMARKS...RANGES OF MIN T EXCEEDING 8 DEGREES & RANGES OF MAX RH
EXCEEDING 10% INDICATE THE LIKELIHOOD OF THERMAL BELTS. ADI IS
ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. DISPERSION INDEX IS
MAGNITUDE OF VENT RATE DIVIDED BY 1000.

$$

KYZ069-110>114-118-120-210930-
Jackson-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-Owsley-Letcher-Pike-
Including the cities of McKee, Annville, Prestonsburg,
Wheelwright, Beattyville, Jackson, Hindman, Pippa Passes,
Booneville, Jenkins, Whitesburg, Coal Run, Elkhorn City,
Pikeville, and South Williamson
405 PM EST Tue Nov 20 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thanksgiving Day

Cloud Cover           PCldy        MClear       PCldy        PCldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Temp (24H TREND)      24-31 (-9)   45-46 (+3)   26-33        45-48
Rh % (24H TREND)      85-100 (+1)  49-52 (-17)  89-100       55-62
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    SW 3-7                    Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      W 3-7        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index (MID)                 3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 2400                      2500
Transport wnd (mph)                W  9                      NW  9
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  17974                     19083
ADI Early             7 Poor       28 Fair      5 Very Poor  23 Fair
ADI Late              25 Fair      24 Fair      2 Very Poor  28 Fair
Max LVORI Early       5            4            6            8
Max LVORI Late        6            3            8            4

REMARKS...RANGES OF MIN T EXCEEDING 8 DEGREES & RANGES OF MAX RH
EXCEEDING 10% INDICATE THE LIKELIHOOD OF THERMAL BELTS. ADI IS
ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. DISPERSION INDEX IS
MAGNITUDE OF VENT RATE DIVIDED BY 1000.

$$

KYZ080-085>088-115>117-210930-
Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Perry-Clay-Leslie-
Including the cities of London, Corbin, Williamsburg,
Barbourville, Middlesboro, Pineville, Cumberland, Harlan, Hazard,
Manchester, and Hyden
405 PM EST Tue Nov 20 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thanksgiving Day

Cloud Cover           PCldy        MClear       MClear       MClear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Temp (24H TREND)      25-30 (-9)   44-47 (+4)   26-32        49-52
Rh % (24H TREND)      88-100 (+3)  49-52 (-15)  88-100       51-56
20ftwnd-AM(mph)                    Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20ftwnd-PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      W 2-6        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Haines Index (MID)                 4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)                 2100                      2100
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  7                     NW  8
Vent rate (kt-ft)                  13129                     14644
ADI Early             7 Poor       20 Gen Poor  5 Very Poor  18 Gen Poor
ADI Late              21 Fair      20 Gen Poor  2 Very Poor  21 Fair
Max LVORI Early       6            5            6            8
Max LVORI Late        7            3            8            3

REMARKS...RANGES OF MIN T EXCEEDING 8 DEGREES & RANGES OF MAX RH
EXCEEDING 10% INDICATE THE LIKELIHOOD OF THERMAL BELTS. ADI IS
ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. DISPERSION INDEX IS
MAGNITUDE OF VENT RATE DIVIDED BY 1000.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Southeast winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Rain. Lows around 40. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph
in the evening.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs in the mid 50s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs around 50. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

GREIF