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FNUS73 KLOT 281305
FWSLOT

Spot Forecast for Hawleywood Pile Burn 2...NPS
National Weather Service Chicago IL
805 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on March 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (815) 834-0666 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Cloud cover will persist across the area this morning
before clearing in the afternoon. Otherwise, an afternoon lake breeze
is expected to turn the winds northerly mid to late this afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy this morning then becoming mostly
                    sunny this afternoon.
Temperature.........32 at ignition...Max 45.
RH..................69 percent at ignition...Min 52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 8 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise West winds 7 to 10 mph
                    shifting to the northwest around 8 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 14 mph decreasing to 7 to 8 mph late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4900 ft
                    AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /9700 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /42600 knot-ft/.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........64  74  84  77  71  53  36  29  22  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Temp............32  35  38  40  41  43  44  45  45  45
RH..............69  61  54  52  52  53  53  53  53  53
20 FT wind dir..240 240 240 250 260 260 270 280 290 310
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   10  12  12  12  12  10  9
20 FT wind gust.12  13  16  17  18  20  18  17  15  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.7 2.3 2.8 3.3 3.9 4.2 4.6 4.9 3.4
Transp wind dir.250 260 250 260 260 270 270 270 280 300
Transp wind spd.10  12  14  14  14  13  9   9   8   7
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10  17  27  34  40  43  34  36  34  20

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Temperature.........Min 35.
RH..................Max 79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming north around 5
                    mph after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 7 mph becoming 3 to 8 mph early in
                    the evening.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1000 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........25  26  27  29  30  30  31  31  32  33  34  31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Temp............44  42  40  39  39  38  37  36  36  37  36  36
RH..............55  60  67  70  70  70  72  75  79  75  79  79
20 FT wind dir..000 020 030 050 060 070 100 110 080 030 000 010
20 FT wind spd..7   6   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.9   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5
Transp wind dir.320 010 030 030 030 030 020 010 000 350 000 010
Transp wind spd.7   5   5   5   3   5   5   5   5   5   6   8
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Vrate kt-ft/1K..11  2   2   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming partly cloudy then
                    becoming mostly cloudy.
Temperature.........Max 52.
RH..................Min 52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 8 mph shifting to the east
                    around 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3300 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  25  26  26  27  35  44  52  54  57  59  67
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Temp............35  35  37  40  41  43  46  47  49  50  51  52
RH..............78  78  72  67  65  62  58  58  56  54  54  52
20 FT wind dir..020 030 030 050 060 050 040 030 040 050 060 060
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   5   5   5   6   6   7   7   8   8
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   6   6   6       7   8   9   10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.8
Transp wind dir.020 030 050 050 050 030 020 040 050 060 070 080
Transp wind spd.8   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   8
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   3   5   6   7   7   8   8   8   7   6   5

$$
Forecaster...Birk
Requested by...Brandon Ramirez
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408738.0/LOT
.DELDT 03/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0

FNUS73 KILX 281332
FWSILX

Spot Forecast for Trelease (East Old Prairie Unit)...INHS/UIUC
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
832 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on March 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (217) 732-3089 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Deep mixing combined with west-southwesterly winds of 10-15 mph
should result in good vent rates this afternoon. Much of today
will be dry, although there is a low chance (15%) of a shower this
evening.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Temperature.........45 at ignition...Max 59.
RH..................53 percent at ignition...Min 37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 10 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southwest winds 7 to 15
                    mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 14 mph increasing to west 20 to
                    26 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /17400 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...Very
                    Good /109400 knot-ft/ increasing to Very Good
                    (123500 knot-ft) late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........20     32     4      38
Weather cov.....M      M      M      M
Weather type....M      M      M      M
Tstm cov........M      M      M      M
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1
Temp............45     51     57     59
RH..............53     44     38     37
20 ft wind......SW 10  SW 17  SW 17  W 18
20 ft wind gust.16     24     24     25
Mix hgt (ft)....1900   3700   5200   6300
Transport wind..SW 10  W 20   W 24   W 26
Haines index....4      4      4      4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..17     64     109    145
Ventrate Cat....POOR   GOOD   VYGD   VYGD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Temperature.........Min 39.
RH..................Max 89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2100 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........65     48     44     50     39     42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............57     51     47     45     43     41
RH..............43     56     68     73     79     85
20 ft wind......W 12   W 12   SW 7   SW 7   SW 7   SW 7
20 ft wind gust.18     18     10     10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....1800   500    400    400    300    300
Transport wind..W 17   W 10   W 10   SW 9   SW 9   SW 9
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..28     4      4      3      3      3
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

$$
Forecaster...Erwin
Requested by...Nathan Hudson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408742.0/ILX
.DELDT 03/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nhudson@illinois.edu