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FNUS75 KPUB 151545
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Pikes Peak Piles...USFS
National Weather Service PUEBLO CO
845 AM MST Fri Dec 15 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MST on December 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry weather is expected today through Saturday.  There continues to
be differences in the forecast models with regards to the weather
system moving over the area on Sunday.  Two models keep the burn area
dry, while another model shows snow chances through much of the day
and maybe a couple inches of accumulation.  Temps will be relatively
warm today and Saturday, but will be much colder on Sunday.  Warm and
dry weather is expected for Monday.



.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....39-44F.
Min humidity........11-16 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 10-15 mph.
Mixing height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1200, then fair until 1500, then
                    poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....28-33F.
Max humidity........25-30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 9 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(41 percent).
Max temperature.....40-45F.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 8 mph until 0800, then light
                    wind until 1300, then east 5-10 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 6 mph until 1600, then east
                    around 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Although there is still uncertainty as to whether there
will be any snow, if the one forecast model is correct there will be
a chance for snow from around 0800-2000, with 1-2 inches of accumulation.
Lows 14 to 19. Highs 22 to 27. Light wind. Max humidity 80-90 percent.
Min humidity around 45 percent.

.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Lows 15 to 20. Highs 35 to 40. Light wind.
Max humidity 70-80 percent.  Min humidity 20-25 percent.

.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows 21 to 26. Highs 35 to 40. Light wind.
Max humidity 55-65 percent.  Min humidity 20-30 percent.

$$
Forecaster...28
Requested by...USFS
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1719953.2/PUB