Air Resources Laboratory banner image
Air Resources Laboratory web site National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)

az fire


FNUS75 KPSR 260227
FWSPSR

Spot Forecast for Doolittle...DFFM
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
727 PM MST Thu Apr 25 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 MST on April 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
West winds early this evening will decrease in speed eventually
becoming variable in direction after midnight. However, a west to
southwest component will quickly return late Friday morning with
increased gusts 20-30 mph Friday afternoon. Otherwise, with temperatures
slightly cooler than today and humidity levels slightly higher, dry
weather will prevail.


Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........57-63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 12 mph with gusts to around
                    20 mph in the evening becoming variable in
                    direction with speeds under 6 mph after midnight.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable winds in the morning becoming southwest
                    5 to 12 mph late morning, then shifting to the
                    southwest 13 to 19 mph with gusts up to 30 mph in
                    the afternoon.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........62-68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 18 mph with gusts to
                    around 26 mph in the evening becoming southeast
                    5 to 11 mph after midnight.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........18-23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph in the morning becoming
                    west 7 to 14 mph with gusts 20 to 25 mph in the
                    afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...MO
Requested by...Kurt Lehner
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2412532.0/PSR
.DELDT 04/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL aidclogistics@dffm.az.gov

FNUS75 KFGZ 260245
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for 6 ESB A CO operations...Camp Navajo Fire Dept
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
745 PM MST Thu Apr 25 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 MST on April 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM MST FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...Shower and storm activity is diminishing this
evening as a low pressure system is passing over the region. Winds
at the site will remain variable for the next few hours as
decaying showers and storms have left numerous outflows over the
area.

Overnight, winds should start to becoming southwesterly again.

Another low pressure system will be entering the region tomorrow.
The increasing SW winds ahead of it combined with terrain lift on
the Colorado Plateau will aid in developing scattered showers late
tomorrow morning, which could impact the area. Precipitation
coverage increases during the afternoon with numerous scattered
storms expected: thunderstorms tomorrow could produce ample
amounts of small hail and graupel.

Friday night thunderstorm coverage decreases but showers will
persist. Dropping temperatures with the continued shower activity
will result in rain showers transitioning over to snow showers
Friday night into early Saturday morning. Confidence is high that
snow amounts will remain under 2 inches, possible under an inch.

The weather will remain unsettled into Saturday as the low moves
east with a decrease in shower activity for the morning before
more showers and storms develop in the afternoon. Dry, quiet
weather returns by Sunday.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly to mostly cloudy, becoming mostly clear.
                    Slight chance of a rain shower early this
                    evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 29.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Variable winds 5-10 mph before 9 PM, becoming
                    south southwest at 5 mph.

TIME (MST)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........53     28     24     8      15
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20     20     0      0      0
Temp............39     35     33     31     29
RH..............82     96     96     100    100
Surface wind....VRB 7  SW 5   SW 5   SSW 5  SSW 5
Surface wnd gst.15     10

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny in the morning, becoming mostly cloudy
                    after 10 AM. Chance of rain showers late in the
                    morning. Rain and thunderstorm chances increasing
                    after noon and persisting through the afternoon.
                    Thunderstorms could produce large amounts of small
                    hail and graupel.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Surface winds (mph).South southwest winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 15 to 20 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon. Thunderstorms in the afternoon will result
                    in gusty, erratic winds

TIME (MST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........25     20     15     69     79     72
Weather cov.....                     CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      30     50     60
Temp............29     41     49     51     50     47
RH..............100    70     50     46     48     56
Surface wind....SSW 10  S 15  SW 15  SW 20  SW 20  SW 20
Surface wnd gst.       20     25     30     30     30

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers with chance of thunderstorms
                    in the evening. Thunderstorms could produce large amounts
                    of small hail and graupel. Rain showers will transition
                    to snow showers after sunset.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 27.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

TIME (MST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........81     86     79     81     77     82
Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSN   SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE               S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).70     70     70     50     50     50
Temp............43     36     30     29     28     27
RH..............67     92     100    100    100    100
Surface wind....SW 15  SW 15  SW 10  SW 10  SW 10  SW 10
Surface wnd gst.25     25     15     15     15     15

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy with lingering rain and snow showers in the
                    morning. Some clearing late morning will help produce isolated
                    to scattered showers and storms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 49.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Surface winds (mph).West winds 10 to 15 mph.

TIME (MST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........85     86     84     78     72     72
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).50     50     50     60     60     60
Temp............28     31     37     42     46     49
RH..............100    100    89     73     63     53
Surface wind....SW 10  W 10   W 15   W 15   W 15   W 15
Surface wnd gst.15     15     20     20     25     25

$$
Forecaster...ROAKES
Requested by...Tim Irwin
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2412530.0/FGZ
.DELDT 04/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL timothy.irwin@azdema.gov