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ar fire


FNUS74 KLZK 061034
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for PCS Turkey Creek Regens 3...USFS
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
434 AM CST Fri Feb 6 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on February 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (501) 834-3955 and ask for the fire
weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front currently over the central Plains will move south
across the state later this morning with frontal passage expected
mid morning over the burn site. Winds will veer from west
southwest ahead of the front to north/northwest behind the cold
front. By midday, some afternoon breezes out of the northwest are
expected and will prevail through mid afternoon. Winds will
become light around sunset and persist through the night. Mainly
light and variable winds are expected on Saturday with dry
conditions prevailing through the entire forecast period.


.REST OF TODAY...

Max temperature.....53 at ignition...Max 72.
Min humidity........61 percent at ignition...Min 31 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 18 mph increasing to 15 to 20
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Stability class.....5.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Dispersion..........27 increasing to 44 in the afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....67.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 3521 ft MSL.
Category Day........3.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 2800 ft AGL.

TIME (CST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............53  60  65  69  70  71  72  70  67
RH..............61  49  43  36  35  34  31  32  36
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..2   5   5   6   6   7   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.11  13  14  14  14  14  14  14  13
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
Transp wind spd.10  13  15  17  18  20  20  17  15
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

Min temperature.....Min 34.
Max humidity........Max 96 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 13 mph shifting to the east 7 to 9
                    mph late in the evening.
Stability class.....6.
LVORI...............3.
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Dispersion..........5.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....MISSING.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 1855 ft MSL.
Category Day........1.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 1200 ft AGL.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR MCR CLR MCR CLR MCR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............62  56  53  50  48  46  45  43  41  40  37  36
RH..............43  51  57  63  65  71  73  79  82  82  92  92
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NW  N   N   N   NE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.11  10  8   7   6   6   5   4   4   4   4   5
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.13  12  10  10  10  9   9   8   7   7   7   7
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.SATURDAY...

Max temperature.....Max 60.
Min humidity........Min 36 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 13 mph.
Stability class.....5.
LVORI...............3 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Dispersion..........19.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....56.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 3658 ft MSL.
Category Day........2.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 3000 ft AGL.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............36  35  38  41  45  49  54  56  58  60  57  55
RH..............92  96  85  76  65  56  47  43  39  36  40  43
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.5   6   6   7   7   8   8   8   10  10  10  10
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.8   10  12  13  12  9   7   7   7   8   8   9
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...C Kelly
Requested by...Loyd Moore
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2601849.0/LZK
.DELDT 02/06/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL loyd.moore@usda.gov