Air Resources Laboratory banner image
Air Resources Laboratory web site National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)

ok discuss


Office: TSA

FXUS64 KTSA 211726
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1126 AM CST Wed Nov 21 2018

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR TAF elements will prevail at all sites through the valid
period.



&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1016 AM CST Wed Nov 21 2018/

DISCUSSION...
A few high clouds from time to time this afternoon,
otherwise warmer temperatures can be expected with the surface
ridge axis to the east. This will also result in increased
southerly winds. Afternoon max temperatures look good per area
12z soundings, and will be left as they are for now. Remaining
first period elements look good as well.

No update planned at this time.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$


AVIATION.....23



Office: OUN FXUS64 KOUN 212046 AFDOUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 246 PM CST Wed Nov 21 2018 .DISCUSSION... The gradual warming trend will continue through Saturday, as mild air remains over the southern Plains. A cold front will pass through the region on Friday, but there will not be any meaningful cold air advection behind it. A few showers are expected late Thursday night through Friday afternoon, mainly near, and to the east of, I-35. A strong storm system will arrive Saturday night, with a surface low centered near the northwest corner of the main body of Oklahoma, and a strong mid/upper wave sweeping southeast across eastern Colorado around midnight. As the surface low and upper trough pass to the east of our forecast area, strong northwest winds and substantially colder air will flow into Oklahoma and north Texas. Rain chances will be very low with this system, but winds will likely reach Wind Advisory criteria over most, if not all, of our forecast area. Early next week will be relatively cool, with no significant weather, but by Wednesday, another storm system takes shape to the west. This will increase our winds and raise temperatures for Wednesday. CmS && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 35 60 48 65 / 0 0 20 40 Hobart OK 35 60 47 68 / 0 0 10 10 Wichita Falls TX 36 61 50 70 / 0 0 10 10 Gage OK 34 60 44 65 / 0 0 10 10 Ponca City OK 35 61 48 63 / 0 0 30 60 Durant OK 36 60 47 68 / 0 0 20 40 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. TX...None. && $$ 06/23
Office: AMA FXUS64 KAMA 211716 AFDAMA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Amarillo TX 1116 AM CST Wed Nov 21 2018 .AVIATION... For the 18z TAFs... Good flying weather continues with VFR forecast next 24 hours. Only mid- and high-level clouds are expected with no visibility restrictions foreseen. Southwest and south surface winds generally below 15 kt expected through mid-morning Thursday. Surface wind speeds expected to increase and commence gusting around mid-day Thursday. Cockrell && .PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 849 AM CST Wed Nov 21 2018/ UPDATE...Tranquil weather is expected through early Tuesday morning. High clouds passing over the region in association with a passing shortwave trough south of the Panhandles should clear out by late this afternoon. High temperatures will be in the upper 50s to lower 60s with overnight lows early Thanksgiving morning in the upper 20s northwest to lower 30s southeast. Winds will be out of the southwest around 5 to 15 MPH, though slightly higher gusts could mix down during the afternoon hours in areas without high cloud cover. No precipitation is expected anywhere in the combined Panhandles at this time. Bieda AVIATION...Previous Discussion... For the 12Z TAFs, VFR conditions will continue at KGUY, KDHT, and KAMA through 12Z Thursday. 02 && .AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories... TX...None. OK...None. && $$ 98/03