fl discuss
Office: JAX
FXUS62 KJAX 182337
AFDJAX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
637 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
- Foggy Mornings Through the End of the Week. Wednesday: Potentially Areas of, or Widespread, Dense Fog
- Extended Dry Spell Continues this Week. Be very cautious with outdoor flames check for local burning bans. Severe to Extreme Drought Inland Southeast GA & Northern Suwannee
&&
.NEAR TERM...
Issued at 1241 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
A weak and subtle front/trough just offshore to the east today
will lift off to the northeast tonight as the area remains under
the influence of the western periphery of a surface ridge. Some
scattered low level clouds are streaming towards the coast and
just onshore at times thanks to the coastal trough, but otherwise
a mostly sunny and mild rest of the day will be expected with
highs in the upper 70s to low 80s inland. The more onshore flow
will keep conditions a bit cooler near the coast as highs stay in
the low to mid 70s range. Very weak flow overnight and a bit more
low level moisture thanks to the onshore flow today will up our
fog chances tonight, especially south and east of about the
Waycross area. Patchy to areas of fog will be likely as well as
patchy dense fog with visibilities under 1/2 mile at times. Low
temps will range from the upper 40s to low 50s inland and the mid
to upper 50s closer to the coast and St. Johns River.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Wednesday through Thursday night)
Issued at 1241 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
After a foggy morning, skies will clear and pave the way for above
normal temperatures as high pressure remains overhead. Highs will
climb into the 80s inland and the immediate northeast Florida
coast, while the southeast Georgia coast peaks in the upper 70s.
Another round of morning fog will be likely Thursday morning over
most of inland northeast Florida as lows drop into the 50s to low
60s near the water. Thursday will again be above average for
temperatures in the 80s inland, with coastal temperatures in the
mid to upper 70s as a light coastal breeze develops.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1241 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
Dry and warm conditions continue on Friday with inland highs
reaching the 80s again with partly cloudy skies as more moisture
influxes the area from an approaching front. The front will bring
isolated to scattered showers and perhaps a thunderstorm Saturday
afternoon over far inland southeast Georgia. The front will pass
through this weekend leaving dry conditions, but will not lower
temperatures much, keeping highs above normal.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 637 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
Confidence has increased for IFR/LIFR fog/stratus developing
across most of the TAF sites tonight. The influx of low-level
moisture from the NE today combined with calm winds and clear
skies will set the stage for fog development from 05-13Z. Highest
chances for LIFR fog will be SSI and the JAX metro sites.
Fog/stratus should lift and dissipate by 14Z. Westerly winds less
than 5 knots develop after 14Z.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1241 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
A weak and coastal trough over the waters will lift northeastward
tonight, with a a few isolated showers possible off the northeast
Florida coast through the afternoon and evening. Otherwise, high
pressure will be the dominant weather feature through the end of
the week resulting in light winds and low seas across the local
waters. Patchy to areas of fog will be possible within about 10
miles of the coast each morning over the next several days. Over
the weekend, winds turn offshore and become breezy as a cold front
approaches and passes Sunday night. High pressure building in
behind the front will move offshore to the northeast early next
week setting up onshore flow and development of a coastal trough.
Rip Currents: Rip current risk is moderate today with onshore
flow. This risk falls slightly Wednesday and through the rest of
the week.
&&
.CLIMATE...
Issued at 1241 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
Record High Temperatures For The Rest of The Week:
Wednesday, November 19:
KJAX: 84/1958
KAMG: 82/1942
KCRG: 82/1984
Thursday, November 20:
KJAX: 86/1988
KGNV: 88/1906
KAMG: 83/1942
Friday, November 21:
KJAX: 84/1991
KGNV: 86/1973
KAMG: 83/2011
KCRG: 82/2004
Saturday, November 22:
KJAX: 84/1973
KGNV: 86/1906
KAMG: 83/2011
KCRG: 81/1997
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG 49 82 56 83 / 0 0 0 0
SSI 57 79 59 77 / 10 0 0 0
JAX 54 83 56 83 / 0 0 0 0
SGJ 57 81 57 81 / 10 0 0 0
GNV 54 84 54 86 / 0 0 0 0
OCF 54 83 53 84 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&
$$
Office: EYW
Office: MLB
FXUS62 KMLB 182342
AFDMLB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
642 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
...New UPDATE, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 243 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
- Patchy/areas of morning fog and a moderate risk of life-
threatening rip currents are our notable hazards this week.
- Temperatures continue to nudge above normal as high pressure
stays in control.
- Outdoor plans will be greeted with plenty of sunshine. Most
locales will remain rain-free for at least the next week.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 642 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
High pressure across the region will keep winds light and skies
clear to mostly clear into tonight. These conditions will be
favorable for fog formation and hi-res guidance has been somewhat
consistent at showing fog development across the St. Johns River
basin and toward the I-95 corridor after midnight. Have therefore
increased fog coverage wording to "areas of fog" across this
region, with patchy fog elsewhere. Fog may become dense in spots
late tonight through early morning Wednesday, with visibilities of
a half mile or less. Motorists should use caution and slow down
if encountering any limited visibilities through the Wednesday
morning commute. Otherwise, forecast looks on track, with no
additional changes made.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 243 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
Current-Tonight... A thin layer of low-level moisture has produced a
deck of scattered cumulus clouds along the Treasure Coast and near
Okeechobee. CAMs suggest this moisture could be enough to initiate
isolated to scattered showers across the Treasure Coast waters.
However, a weak sea breeze has developed, and its subsidence should
limit most of this activity from moving too far inland. Outside of
an occasional shower brushing the immediate Treasure Coast, most
of east central Florida is expected to remain dry through the
remainder of the day.
Looking towards tonight, conditions become favorable for another
round of patchy fog. Localized visibilities of less than one mile
will be possible with any fog that develops. If encountering fog
on roadways late tonight or early Wednesday morning, slow down,
use low-beam headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of
you. Low temperatures remain seasonal, mostly in the upper 50s and
low 60s.
Wednesday-Thursday... Weak low pressure moves offshore the mid-
Atlantic coast Wednesday. The attached surface boundary sinks into
portions of the southeastern U.S., but high pressure in place
locally will keep it north of Florida. Conditions remain generally
favorable for patchy fog development across much of east central
Florida again Thursday morning. Otherwise, dry conditions persist
through the period, and there are no mentionable rain chances.
Temperatures climb only a few degrees above normal each afternoon,
reaching the low 80s. Low temperatures are forecast to range the mid
to upper 50s across the interior with upper 50s and low 60s along
the coast.
Friday-Monday... High pressure gets reinforced locally as surface
ridging builds over the western Atlantic late this week. The ridge
then flattens this weekend as a cold front approaches from the west-
northwest. A limited moisture column keeps confidence low for any
rain chances associated with the front, and dry conditions are
forecast to persist. High temperatures hold steady, mostly in the
low to mid 80s. Low temperatures ranging the mid to upper 50s across
the interior and upper 50s to low 60s along the coast warm a few
degrees into early next week.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 243 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
High pressure moves offshore the eastern seaboard into tonight,
becoming reinforced by a second area of high pressure moving
offshore late week. Mostly dry conditions are forecast outside of a
few showers this afternoon and evening. Light and variable winds
generally remain less than 10 kts through this week. Seas building 3-
4 ft across the Gulf Stream subside Wednesday, becoming widely 1-2
ft by Friday.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFs)
Issued at 642 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
Dry conditions will continue, with skies clear to mostly clear.
High pressure across the area will also keep winds light and
generally variable, except for a weak sea breeze increasing winds
out of the NE to 7-8 knots along the coast Wednesday afternoon.
VFR conditions mostly forecast. However, fog formation will again
be possible after midnight tonight, with HREF guidance showing
greatest probabilities east-northeast of KMCO through the I-95
corridor southward through inland Brevard and portions of the
Treasure Coast and Okeechobee County. Any fog will produce tempo
IFR/MVFR conditions, with LIFR conditions occurring in spots where
dense fog is able to form. Have included visibility reductions at
all TAF sites into tonight, with greatest fog potential between
10-13Z. Any fog will lift and diminish after sunrise, with VFR
conditions returning around 14Z.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 243 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
modified previous... Over the next couple of days, seasonably deep
mixing (4+ KFT) should tap into some drier air aloft over northern
portions of east central Florida. Away from the coast and along the
I-4 corridor, RH minima are forecast to range from 40-45% Wednesday
and Thursday afternoon. Afternoon breezes becoming NE less than 10
mph. Light to calm winds and excellent RH recovery are forecast each
night, so smoke from any fires will have the potential to mix with
patchy fog.
Although sensitive across the interior through mid week, RH values
are expected to remain above elevated or critical thresholds in all
areas.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB 59 81 58 80 / 0 0 0 0
MCO 60 83 60 83 / 0 0 0 0
MLB 61 80 61 80 / 0 0 0 0
VRB 61 81 62 81 / 0 0 0 0
LEE 58 82 58 83 / 0 0 0 0
SFB 59 83 59 83 / 0 0 0 0
ORL 60 82 61 82 / 0 0 0 0
FPR 61 81 62 81 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...Weitlich
AVIATION...Weitlich
Office: MOB
FXUS64 KMOB 182337
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
537 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 530 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025
- Areas of dense fog will be possible across southeastern
Mississippi and southwest Alabama again tonight into Wednesday
morning. Patchy dense fog will be possible each morning this
week.
- Risk for rip currents may increase to a high risk late in the
week ahead of the next chance for showers and storms.
- Rain chances gradually increase into the weekend; however,
drought conditions are expected to continue across the area
until the rain arrives.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1235 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025
Warm and dry conditions prevail through much of the week as a
upper level ridge builds over the region. At the sfc, high
pressure will remain in control with southeasterly to southerly
flow bringing increased moisture to the area. Due to the increased
moisture along with light winds, dense fog will develop each
night. We have issued a Dense Fog Advisory for Wednesday morning
for southeast Mississippi and portions of southwest Alabama.
Temperatures will remain above normal through the period, likely
flirting with a few record highs by midweek as an upper ridge
builds across the area. Lows will also increase through the period
as moisture returns to the area. Rain chances increase Friday
into Saturday as an upper trough ejects across the plains and
weakens as it moves eastward. While the main dynamics pass well to
the north, enough low level moisture combined with the
approaching trough will lead to isolated to scattered showers and
storms Friday into Saturday. Dry and warm conditions return on
Sunday as upper ridging rebuilds across the area. Rain chances
increase again by the early to middle of next week as the next
system approaches from the west. Overnight patchy fog will
continue to be an issue each night as moisture levels increase.
Rip current probabilities continue to indicate that a potential
rise to a MODERATE risk for all beaches on Friday into the
weekend. /13
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 537 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025
Widespread dense fog will develop after midnight along the coast
and spread inland through the overnight hours into Wednesday
morning. Ceilings and visibilities are expected to fall to LIFR
to VLIFR area-wide by the pre-dawn hours on Wednesday and likely
stay there until 19/15z before completely dissipating to VFR
flight categories by late morning. /22
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1235 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025
Easterly flow today will become southeasterly Tuesday into
Wednesday. A moderate southerly flow develops on Friday ahead of
an approaching front. /13
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 61 80 59 78 / 0 0 0 0
Pensacola 62 77 61 76 / 0 0 0 0
Destin 62 76 61 76 / 0 0 0 0
Evergreen 56 83 56 83 / 0 0 0 0
Waynesboro 59 81 57 82 / 0 0 0 0
Camden 58 81 56 81 / 0 0 0 0
Crestview 54 81 55 81 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Dense Fog Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM CST Wednesday
for ALZ051>053-261>266.
FL...None.
MS...Dense Fog Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM CST Wednesday
for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.
GM...None.
&&
$$
Office: TBW
FXUS62 KTBW 182351
AFDTBW
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
651 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Patchy late night and early morning fog each day.
- Sunny and dry with temperatures near to a few degrees above
normal through early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 110 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
Surface high pressure over the Mid-Atlantic States this afternoon
will drift east out into the Atlantic Ocean over the next few
days, but continue to ridge west across the Florida peninsula into
this weekend. Late in the weekend a weakening cold front will
settle into north Florida and washout early next week with another
area of high pressure building in from the north with a repeat of
this week. Therefore, over the next week we will continue to see
fair dry weather with the only potential issue being some late
night and early morning fog each day. Daytime high temperatures
will remain near to a few degrees above normal in the lower to mid
80s, except mid to upper 70s along the coast where an afternoon
sea breeze is expected each day. Overnight lows will continue near
normal in the 50s to lower 60s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 646 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
Areas of patchy fog may develop across portions of the region
tonight, which may result in an extended period of IFR/LIFR
conditions but overall forecast confidence in location of fog
development remains low at this time. Any fog that develops will
dissipate around 14Z on Wednesday with VFR conditions then expected
area-wide for the remainder of the day. Light and VRB winds
overnight will then be mainly ENE on Wednesday, though a shift to
the NNW may occur at coastal sites tomorrow afternoon as a weak sea
breeze develops.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 110 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
High pressure will settle across the waters into the weekend,
keeping rain free conditions in place. Winds and seas will remain
well below headline criteria.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 110 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
High pressure over the Mid-Atlantic States will drift east out
into the Atlantic Ocean over the next few days, but continue to
ridge west across the Florida peninsula. This will continue the
fair dry weather with light easterly flow becoming onshore near
the coast each afternoon as the sea breeze develops. Relative
humidity values will remain above critical thresholds.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 63 84 63 84 / 0 0 0 0
FMY 62 85 63 85 / 0 0 0 0
GIF 60 85 60 85 / 0 0 0 0
SRQ 62 83 60 83 / 0 0 0 0
BKV 53 84 51 84 / 0 0 0 0
SPG 65 81 65 81 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Giarratana
DECISION SUPPORT...Wynn
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Wynn
Office: TAE
FXUS62 KTAE 182353
AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
653 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 647 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
- Fog may develop over the next few nights lingering into the
morning commute. Where fog mixes with smoke, expected very
restricted visibilities in localized spots. Use caution if
driving during late night or early morning hours. Slow down,
leave extra space, and turn on headlights.
- No significant rainfall expected through the remainder of the
week. Drought conditions will continue and/or get worse across
the region.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This Evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 124 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
Deep ridging will allow for a surface high to continue to prevail
overhead bringing calm conditions today and into tomorrow. Low
humidities and PWATS will bring clear skies and light easterly flow
will generate warmer temps this afternoon. A weak frontal system
behind the ridge continues to build, very slowly bringing back
moisture over the northwest part of the region. Elevated fire weather
concerns are apparent due to current drought conditions. However,
calm winds and slight increase in moisture lessens the concern
slightly.
Calm winds and low-level moisture returning tonight can enable
radiational cooling that may bring patchy fog to parts of the region,
decreasing visibility, tonight and into tomorrow morning.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 124 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
As a weak frontal system makes it way toward the district, moisture
continues to increase throughout this week. Radiation fog and drought
threat will be the main issue of concern through the end of the
week. As the frontal system moves through, higher moisture will
bring increased cloud cover with stronger winds mixing the low level
environment enough for radiation fog to be less of a concern. Any
chance of precipitation may be Saturday afternoon, although models
continue to trend lower. A lowering trend of precipitation over the
weekend will bring little to no relief to the expansive drought
conditions across the forecast region. Toward the end of the
weekend, post- frontal, dry air with above average temps are expected
to return.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 647 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
VFR conditions are present at the start of this TAF period.
Visibility will begin to lower and winds become calm during the
early morning hours; KDHN and KECP show the highest potential for
fog between 10Z and 13Z with deteriorating flight conditions to
LIFR or even VLIFR. KTLH and KABY show a similar pattern,
although visibility may not be quite as low as terminals further
west but still degraded conditions falling to LIFR. At KVLD,
there is a possibility for MVFR vsbys but confidence is low. All
sites are expected to return to VFR conditions by about 15Z, and
these conditions remain to the end of this TAF period.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 124 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
Light and gentle breezes will prevail through Wednesday, as high
pressure settles over the waters. As the high center moves east
and a low center approaches the Mississippi Valley on Thursday,
southeasterly and southerly winds will start to increase. Only
forecast concerns will be the possibility of near-shore marine
fog later in the week as southerly flow returns. The probabilities
would be highest across the Apalachee Bay where cooler shelf
waters could result in some sea fog formation later in the week.
Winds behind the cold front late Saturday into Sunday will become
more westerly to northwesterly.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 124 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
Light west to northwest transport winds are expected across the area
Wednesday. A sea breeze will push inland over the Emerald Coast
Wednesday afternoon and will cause winds to shift out of the
southwest. Min RH values will drop into the mid 30s over the inland
parts of the FL Big Bend into south central GA with 40s and above
farther west and near the coast. Low dispersions are anticipated
near the coast with fair to good dispersions inland.
For Thursday and Friday, transport winds become more southwesterly
across the area with increasing RH ahead of an approaching cold
front. Winds are still light Thursday, but increase to 10-15 mph on
Friday. Dispersions will be low near the coast still on Thursday,
but will be good inland. Dispersions become good areawide Friday
with some high dispersions over south Georgia.
Given the very dry antecedent conditions, fires could still easily
start and spread despite the increasing humidity.
Fog is possible in the overnight hours the next few nights.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 124 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
Rainfall through Sunday is expected to be near zero, drought
conditions will therefore persist and/or worsen across much of the
Tri-State area.
Visit www.weather.gov/tae/LocalDrought for more information.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee 50 82 56 84 / 0 0 0 0
Panama City 57 78 59 79 / 0 0 0 0
Dothan 54 82 57 84 / 0 0 0 0
Albany 51 82 55 84 / 0 0 0 0
Valdosta 50 83 54 84 / 0 0 0 0
Cross City 48 83 51 84 / 0 0 0 0
Apalachicola 56 74 58 74 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Young
LONG TERM....Young
AVIATION...Scholl
MARINE...Young
FIRE WEATHER...Young
HYDROLOGY...Dobbs
Office: MFL
FXUS62 KMFL 182234
AFDMFL
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
534 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 530 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
- Mainly dry and pleasant conditions will remain in place
across South Florida through the work-week.
- Patchy fog is possible early this morning over interior
portions of South FL.
- Above normal temperatures may return to portions of South
Florida towards the middle and the end of the week as mid
level ridging strengthens over the region.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 1209 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
Current forecast remains on track with tranquil weather
persisting. Dry and comfortable conditions expected through the
short term and likely beyond. High temperatures today expected in
the low to mid 80s.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1231 AM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
Zonal flow remains established over South Florida early this morning
as surface high pressure remains across the Southeast CONUS. A
weakening frontal boundary is draped across the area leading to very
light surface wind flow. As this weak boundary continues to
dissipate over the area, surface flow will increase out of the
northeast this afternoon while an upper level ridge becomes
established over the Gulf through mid-week. With an abundance of dry
air in place throughout most of the atmospheric column, (PWAT values
hovering between 0.7 and 0.9 inches), the sensible weather across
South Florida will remain dry and pleasant throughout the next two
days...and likely even into next week. Overall, high pressure and
dry air dominate the weather regime making way for many sunny days
this week, leaving me with not much to discuss.
High temperatures will reach the low to mid 80s today and tomorrow.
Some parts of interior South Florida may reach the upper 80s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 1231 AM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
Fairly benign and quiet weather prevails through the long term
forecast period. Mid-level ridging builds across the Gulf by late
Wednesday which should keep South Florida firmly in an east-
northeast regime for the Thursday-Saturday timeframe. With an
abundance of dry air remaining in place across the mid to upper
levels, mainly dry conditions will prevail through the remainder
of the week. A few short lived showers may be possible near the
east coast regions, however POPs remain less than 10%. As the mid
level ridge strengthens across the Gulf region, easterly to
northeasterly surface flow will increase as the pressure gradient
tightens leading to breezy conditions over the local Atlantic
waters and along the southeast coastline.
Through the end of the week and first half of the weekend, high
pressure remains in control of the sensible weather across South
Florida with PWATs remaining around 1 inch or less. This should
continue to support dry and mainly sunny conditions through at least
the first half of the weekend. Our next frontal boundary could
approach the area on Sunday leading to wind shift from the south-
southwest. Latest guidance is not too excited with this boundary as
it will be weakening on final approach, although moisture will begin
increasing with PWATs potentially breaching 1.2-1.3 inches. This
would take us back to just about average moisture for November
which really isn't anything to get excited over. While this
frontal passage is still about a week out and will be monitored,
at this time it appears mainly dry and mainly sunny conditions
will continue to prevail through the late weekend-early next week
timeframe as well.
High temperatures Wednesday through the weekend will generally range
from the lower 80s across the east coast metro areas to the mid to
upper 80s across interior portions of Southwest Florida.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 530 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
VFR prevails through the period. Mainly east-northeast winds
through this evening around 5-10 kts will become light and
variable tonight. For tomorrow, winds increase again out of the NE
at 5-10 kts with KAPF seeing a wind shift to the NW in the
afternoon.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1231 AM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
A gentle to moderate northeasterly breeze will prevail across local
waters today and tomorrow. Wave heights should remain 3 feet or
less.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami 70 83 70 83 / 0 0 0 0
West Kendall 65 84 66 84 / 0 0 0 0
Opa-Locka 68 85 69 84 / 0 0 0 0
Homestead 68 82 69 82 / 0 0 0 0
Fort Lauderdale 70 82 71 81 / 0 0 0 0
N Ft Lauderdale 70 82 71 82 / 0 0 0 0
Pembroke Pines 68 85 69 85 / 0 0 0 0
West Palm Beach 69 83 69 82 / 0 0 0 0
Boca Raton 70 84 70 84 / 0 0 0 0
Naples 65 85 65 84 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...Redman
