fl discuss
Office: JAX
FXUS62 KJAX 200225
AFDJAX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
925 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https:/www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf
- Fog Possible Each Morning through Saturday. Areas Potentially
Impacted Early Thursday: Inland Southeast GA & I-75 Corridor
- Near Record High Temperatures through Saturday
- Extended Dry Spell Continues through Early Next Week. Be very
cautious with outdoor fires check for local burn bans. Severe to
Extreme Drought Expanding Across Inland Southeast GA & the
&&
.UPDATE...
Evening surface analysis depicts high pressure (1021 millibars)
centered along the FL panhandle coast. Meanwhile, a weak and nearly
stationary frontal boundary extends from the southern Plains
eastward across the Ozarks and the Tennessee Valley to the coastal
Carolina region. Aloft...stout ridging positioned over the Bay of
Campeche in the southwestern Gulf was extending its axis north-
northeastward across the lower Mississippi Valley and the
southeastern states. Otherwise, longwave troughing remains situated
over the western third of the nation, with a potent shortwave trough
slowly traversing the Desert Southwest. Latest GOES-East derived
Total Precipitable Water imagery indicates that a seasonably dry air
mass remains in place locally, with PWAT values generally around 1
inch across southeast GA and around 0.75 inches elsewhere. Mostly
thin, high altitude cirrus cloud cover continues to spill overtop of
the ridge across the lower Mississippi Valley and the southeastern
states. Temperatures and dewpoints at 02Z ranged from the mid 50s to
the lower 60s at most locations.
High pressure positioned to the west of our area will slowly migrate
east-southeastward overnight and Thursday. Meanwhile, thin cirrus
cloud cover will continue to migrate across our area overnight and
will tend to shift offshore towards sunrise on Thursday. Fog and low
stratus cloud cover should develop as the higher cirrus exits our
area from northwest to southeast during the predawn hours, with the
potential for areas of locally dense fog to develop around sunrise
across inland southeast GA and along the Interstate 75 corridor in
the Suwannee Valley and north central FL. Short-term, high
resolution guidance does suggest that this fog and low stratus could
extend to the U.S. Highway 301 corridor in southeast GA by sunrise,
with impacts to the I-95 corridor possible, especially for locations
north of downtown Jacksonville. Lows overnight will uniformly fall
to the 50s throughout our area.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/...
VFR conditions will prevail at the regional terminals through at
least 08Z Thursday. Confidence on low stratus and fog development
remains rather low during the predawn and early morning hours on
Thursday, with restrictions potentially remaining confined to the
west of the regional terminals, with a high altitude cirrus shield
potentially lingering through around sunrise across our area that
may prevent significant fog formation overnight. With this scenario
and uncertainty in mind, we indicated only a brief period of MVFR
visibilities around sunrise at VQQ and GNV for the 00Z TAF issuance,
with VFR conditions elsewhere. Confidence in this solution should
increase for the 06Z TAF issuance as trends in shorter term guidance
come into focus. VFR conditions should then prevail before 15Z
Thursday. Light southwest to southerly winds at the SSI and SGJ
coastal terminals overnight will shift to westerly towards 11Z and
then northwesterly by 15Z, with sustained speeds increasing to
around 5 knots. Light northwesterly surface winds will develop by
14Z elsewhere, followed by winds shifting to northerly around 5
knots by 17. Surface winds will shift to an onshore direction by
18Z, with speeds increasing to 5-10 knots through the afternoon
hours.
&&
.MARINE...
High pressure centered over the Florida panhandle will weaken while
shifting slowly southeastward over the Florida peninsula by Friday
afternoon and Saturday. A weakening and mostly dry frontal boundary
will then push southward through the Georgia waters on Saturday
night, with this boundary pushing across the northeast FL waters on
Sunday morning. High pressure will build east-southeastward from the
Upper Midwest on Sunday night towards the Mid-Atlantic states by
early Tuesday, with breezy onshore winds developing across our local
waters from Sunday afternoon through Monday afternoon. A stronger
cold front may then push eastward across the southeastern states
next Wednesday and Wednesday night, with southerly winds expected to
develop ahead of this front beginning on Tuesday.
Rip Currents: SE GA Moderate Thursday
NE FL Moderate Thursday
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Dry, warm weather and increasing humidity trends continue amid
the ongoing drought through the weekend, though no significant
fire weather "watch outs" are expected over the next few days.
Our main concern will be morning fog, which could be locally
dense, and poor afternoon dispersions due to minimal surface and
transport winds. Breezy southwesterly winds will start to
increase with gusts up to 15 mph on Friday as a weak cold front
slowly approaches from the northwest. That front will pass
through Saturday night and Sunday with minimal showers if any at
all.
&&
.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
Office: EYW
Office: MLB
FXUS62 KMLB 192330
AFDMLB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
630 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
...New UPDATE, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 145 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
- Patchy fog is possible for the next few mornings, and instances
of locally dense fog cannot be ruled out
- A moderate risk of rip currents remains at area beaches
- Dry and warm conditions to continue into next week
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 630 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Overall, the forecast remains on track across east central
Florida. The only adjustment made this evening includes adding in
the potential for some locally dense fog across portions of
southern Lake county and far western Orange county. Model guidance
has consistently been hinting at some locally dense fog within
these areas, so decided to add it in with the evening update.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 145 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Now-Tonight...A fair afternoon is underway with temperatures in
the upper 70s to low 80s around lunchtime. Outside of a few
cumulus clouds along the Treasure Coast and around Lake
Okeechobee, much of the area is experiencing a blue sky day. 5-10
mph onshore winds will turn calm tonight as temperatures reach the
mid 50s to mid 60s by early Thursday morning. Patchy fog
development is in play overnight, particularly from near the Cape
to Lake Kissimmee, including places like Titusville, Melbourne,
and as far south as the Treasure Coast. Locally dense fog cannot
be ruled out, also, so this is something to keep in mind for the
Thursday morning commute.
Thursday-Saturday...Little change is ahead for the rest of the week
as the H5 ridge expands eastward. High pressure and PW under 1" will
keep the stretch of dry weather going through at least Saturday.
There could be a few more high clouds in the mix Friday as the
profile moistens around 250-300mb. Otherwise, expect mostly clear
skies to continue, with daytime temperatures a few degrees above
normal (low/mid 80s) and overnight lows in the upper 50s to mid
60s. Patchy fog remains possible each morning in the presence of
calm winds and narrowing dew point depressions.
Sunday-Next Week...A weakened cold front arrives Sunday with light
winds shifting to the north through midday, then onshore with the
east coast breeze in the afternoon. Broad mid-level low pressure
ejects from the Desert Southwest Monday into Tuesday, but ridging
over Florida keeps the more active pattern well north. A few model
runs show coastal showers developing by Wednesday, but this is
highly uncertain this far out. The anticipation is for mostly dry
conditions to persist through at least Tuesday with similar
temperatures each day (lows in the 60s, highs in the upper 70s to
mid 80s). A front could approach the area mid to late week, though
model solutions are muddied as to how far south the front goes
before stalling. Regardless, moisture will be on the increase, so
we will be watching for any signs of at least low rain chances
later in the week and for the upcoming holiday.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 145 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Good boating conditions are forecast through at least Saturday as
high pressure remains in place over the local Atlantic. Light and
variable winds turn onshore, increasing to around 10 kt each
afternoon with the sea breeze. Winds veer NNW Sunday, then onshore
again Sunday afternoon, as a weak front approaches. Seas 1-3 ft.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFs)
Issued at 630 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Mainly VFR conditions are anticipated at the east central Florida
terminals through the overnight hours. Model guidance continues to
hint at the potential for fog in some spots tonight, but there
remains uncertainty around whether this fog will develop near the
terminals. Maintain a VIS reduction to 6SM after 08Z from TIX down
to FPR along the coast, improving by 12Z. Winds remain light and
variable to calm overnight, generally picking up out of the ENE
after 18Z tomorrow. Dry conditions are forecast to prevail at all
local terminals.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB 57 80 60 80 / 0 0 0 0
MCO 60 84 61 83 / 0 0 0 0
MLB 61 80 62 80 / 0 0 0 0
VRB 62 81 63 81 / 0 0 0 0
LEE 58 82 59 83 / 0 0 0 0
SFB 58 83 60 83 / 0 0 0 0
ORL 60 83 61 83 / 0 0 0 0
FPR 61 81 62 81 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...Tollefsen
AVIATION...Tollefsen
Office: MOB
FXUS64 KMOB 192343
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
543 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 538 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025
- Areas of dense fog will be possible across southeastern
Mississippi and southwest Alabama again tonight into Thursday
morning. Patchy dense fog will be possible each morning through
the end of the week.
- Risk for rip currents will increase late in the week ahead of
the next chance for showers and storms.
- Rain chances gradually increase into the weekend; however,
drought conditions are expected to continue across the area
until the rain arrives.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1205 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025
In the upper levels we remain dominated under an elongated ridge
that extends from the Hudson Bay into the Bay of Campeche. Across
southern California an upper level low situated in the base of a
digging trough is attempting to move further east. In the short
term, the ridge will hold in place and steer this next system up
and over into the Ohio Valley. At the same time, it will act to
temporarily flatten the ridge and shift southward across the Gulf
Basin for the weekend. By early next week, the next Pacific Low
will move inland, and advance eastward with more force. This will
initially sharpen the ridge back up but then quickly get shunted
east out towards the Atlantic Monday night into Tuesday.
In the low levels, a broad and expansive ridge centered south of
the Emerald Coast of Florida will slide east in response to the
approaching aforementioned upper level trough. The front
associated with this feature will not successfully pass through
the area, but rather stall across the northern tier of our CWA.
The ridge will then sink southward and weaken slightly over the
weekend, before reconsolidating across the western half of the
Gulf in advance of the next trough.
For the forecast, southerly winds will return beginning Thursday
as the low level ridge and surface high shift east. Light surface
flow plus a moist boundary layer will continue a threat for dense
fog, both radiational and sea fog. The threat for sea fog will be
highest across the Mobile Bay Friday morning as the southerly
winds return. At the same time, the low level steering flow will
allow for better low level moisture, currently across the Gulf, to
advect north to northeast and into the region late Thursday/early
Friday. Despite the increase in moisture, we will lack organized
lift and/or instability. Therefore will tread a middle of the road
approach with PoPs. That being said, rain chances will be highest
in our northwestern CWA. Thereafter, moisture aloft will continue
to linger along a boundary, which coupled with the increasing
southerly flow, will maintain a threat for patchy dense fog at
times. In addition, southerly winds will promote a higher risk for
rip currents starting Friday. Better moisture and instability
with the upcoming front early next week will lead to a better
chance for wetting rains as well as some thunderstorms. Some
severe potential is possible, but large spread in how models are
resolving all the specific features, is resulting in low
predictability.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 543 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025
Widespread dense fog will develop along the coast around mid-
evening and spread inland through the overnight hours into
Thursday morning. Ceilings and visibilities are expected to fall
to LIFR to VLIFR area-wide by the pre-dawn hours on Thursday and
likely stay there until 20/16z before completely dissipating to
VFR flight categories by late morning. /22
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1205 PM CST Wed Nov 19 2025
Light to gentle east to southeasterly breezes will prevail
overnight. Breezes will then freshen to moderate and veer to the
south into Friday ahead of an approaching front. This will be
followed by gentle southwesterlies to kick off the weekend.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 60 77 61 79 / 0 0 10 40
Pensacola 61 75 64 78 / 0 0 0 20
Destin 62 75 65 76 / 0 0 0 10
Evergreen 56 83 57 81 / 0 0 0 30
Waynesboro 58 81 59 77 / 0 0 10 60
Camden 57 81 57 78 / 0 0 0 40
Crestview 55 80 56 79 / 0 0 0 10
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Dense Fog Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 9 AM CST Thursday
for ALZ051>060-261>266.
FL...Dense Fog Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 9 AM CST Thursday
for FLZ201>206.
MS...Dense Fog Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 9 AM CST Thursday
for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.
GM...Dense Fog Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 9 AM CST Thursday
for GMZ630>636.
&&
$$
Office: TBW
FXUS62 KTBW 192356
AFDTBW
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
656 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
...New UPDATE, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Patchy late night and early morning fog each day.
- Sunny and dry with temperatures running several degrees above
normal through early next week.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 655 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
The main overnight impact again looks to be fog. Clear skies, light
winds, and dewpoints in the upper 60s to mid-70s are favorable. Thus
patchy to areas of fog remain in the forecast overnight. The area
has been expanded slightly farther west in the vicinity of I-75
across the Suncoast and SWFL. Otherwise, the forecast remains on
track with no changes needed at this time.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 655 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Only aviation concern with a significant impact is the potential for
early morning fog generally from 10Z to 14Z. However, the potential
is too low for any mention at coastal terminals other than PGD. The
best potential will reside across the interior and the Nature Coast
regions. Otherwise, winds will shift from a light easterly to a
light westerly flow in the afternoon hours as the sea breeze moves
inland. A similar setup will continue to repeat for the next several
days.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 241 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
An upper level ridge extends from the southwestern Gulf into central
Canada with Florida remaining on the eastern periphery of this
feature with a northwesterly flow aloft. At the surface, high
pressure is situated near Bermuda as a weak surface low shifts
offshore of the mid Atlantic region tonight. This will drive a weak
frontal boundary into the Southeast US tonight but this feature will
remain north of Florida so similar to many recent evenings, patchy
fog will be the main forecast concern overnight with greatest
coverage generally expected across the Nature Coast.
The upper level ridge across the Gulf will remain in control through
the end of the week and this will maintain the mostly status quo
weather pattern of above normal temperatures and dry conditions with
patchy fog being the main forecast concern during the overnight
hours. Upper ridging will then slightly deamplify by late week and
into the weekend as shortwave energy ejects across the central CONUS
and OH/TN Valley as a deep trough digs across the desert SW. Meanwhile,
cyclogenesis will occur in the lee of the Rockies late week in
response to the aforementioned shortwave energy aloft with a
surface low then shifting across the OH/TN valley by Saturday as
the associated cold front approaches northern Florida later this
weekend. While there may be a slight uptick in moisture return ahead
of this frontal boundary, it doesn't appear that our prolonged
streak of little to no rainfall will come to an end this weekend
as much of the better forcing for ascent will remain well to the
north of the area. As a result, the ongoing forecast does not
include any mentionable PoPs this weekend at this time as this
weakening boundary slides through the region but perhaps enough
moisture/lift will be present to squeeze out a few isolated
showers, mainly on Sunday but would generally expect the vast
majority of locations to remain dry.
By early next week, upper level ridging shifts eastward across the
Eastern Seaboard as an expansive surface high shifts off the
Northeast US. This will maintain dry and warm weather for early
next week with an overall favorable pattern for local travel ahead
of the Thanksgiving holiday. However, it appears the stagnant
weather pattern may finally start to at least temporarily lose its
grips as a low pressure system shifts across the central Plains
and drags a cold front into the area by the middle of the week or
into the Thanksgiving Day. While there remains timing differences
on a potential frontal passage around the end of the forecast
period as the ECMWF shows a more progressive pattern with a clean
frontal passage while the GFS shows a boundary perhaps stalling to
the north of Florida, at least through Day 7, it does appear that
there may finally be a signal to put an end to the long dry streak
that has been in place. However, whether or not this will be
enough precipitation to bring meaningful drought relief is not
known at this time but latest GEFS ensembles show about a 10%-30%
chance of QPF values greater than 0.10" through the end of Thanksgiving
Day compared to the 30%-50% probabilities in the EPS ensemble
suite, though neither solution show anything greater than a half
inch through this time period so it is likely additional time will
be needed before more meaningful rain chances return.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 241 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
High pressure across the region will maintain dry weather with
winds less than 10 kts and seas 1 ft or less through the end of
the week. High pressure is expected to remain in control by the
upcoming weekend and this will favor pleasant marine conditions as
wind speeds remain below 10 kts.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 241 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
A dry weather pattern remains in control as high pressure is
established across the Florida peninsula but despite increasingly
dry soils due to ongoing drought condition, red flag conditions
are not expected at this time as minimum RH values remain above
critical levels. The dry and warm weather pattern will remain in
control this weekend and into early next week, but a chance of
precipitation may return to the area as the Thanksgiving holiday
approaches ahead of a frontal system next week.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 63 85 64 84 / 0 0 0 0
FMY 63 85 63 84 / 0 0 0 0
GIF 60 85 60 85 / 0 0 0 0
SRQ 61 83 61 82 / 0 0 0 0
BKV 53 85 54 84 / 0 0 0 0
SPG 66 81 65 81 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE/AVIATION...Flannery
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...Giarratana
Office: TAE
FXUS62 KTAE 200112
AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
812 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
...New UPDATE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 812 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
- Fog may develop over the next few nights lingering into the
morning commute. Where fog mixes with smoke, expect very
restricted visibilities in localized spots. Use caution if
driving during late night or early morning hours. Slow down,
leave extra space, and turn on headlights.
- No significant rainfall expected through the remainder of the
week. Drought conditions will continue and/or get worse across
the region.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 812 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
No significant changes to the previous forecast appear necessary.
Areas of dense fog are still expected to develop overnight and
persist through mid-morning on Thursday. A dense fog advisory has
been issued for the areas where confidence is the highest in dense
fog forming. However, there is a medium chance of dense fog
developing farther north and east as well, and an expansion of the
dense fog advisory is certainly possible early Thursday morning.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This Evening through Friday Night)
Issued at 1246 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
The main forecast concern the next few nights is the fog
potential. Another round of fog is expected tonight with guidance
indicating a medium to high chance of dense fog. HREF
probabilities of dense fog are around 50-80% for all areas west of
the I-75 corridor tonight. Fog should develop near the coast late
this evening, then gradually spread north and east through the
night. A Dense Fog Advisory will likely be needed for parts of the
area either later this evening or tonight. Thursday and Friday
nights look similar, though the better signal for fog shift to the
eastern half of the area Friday night. Another concern is where
fog mixes with smoke from any ongoing fires. This could cause
visibility to drop to near zero in very localized spots.
If you're out and about late at night or during your morning
commute, slow down, increase following distances, and use your
low-beam headlights, even after sunrise.
Otherwise, warm days continue with highs in the low to mid 80s. No
rain is expected through Friday. Lows will be in the 50s to low
60s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1246 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
A weak cold front moves through the area Saturday with only a low
chance of a shower (20% or so). PWATs are not very impressive (1.3
to 1.5 inches), and the parent shortwave is moving well to the
north of the area over the Ohio Valley and dampening as it does
so. For most, the only noticeable change will be a wind shift out
of the northwest behind the front late Saturday into Sunday. There
won't be much temperature change, though the air becomes somewhat
drier. Highs each day through next Tuesday will be in the upper
70s to lower 80s with lows in the 50s to low 60s.
The next cold front arrive Tuesday, but uncertainty on quality of
moisture and amount of forcing this system have remain uncertain
this far out. We have plenty of time to watch this next system
leading up to the Thanksgiving holiday.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 652 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
VFR currently but conditions will deteoriate in the overnight
hours due to fog. The highest probabilities for dense fog will be
at DHN and ECP where LIFR conds are likely with some possibility
of VLIFR at times from 10-14Z. Further east at TLH and ABY,
confidence is not quite as high but do expect IFR with tempo LIFR
around the same timeframe. At VLD, probabilities are lower and
expecting tempo MVFR vsbys around dawn. Conds will gradually
improve back to VFR around 15-16Z through the end of the TAF
period.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1246 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Light southeasterly breezes continue through Friday before winds
shift out of the south to southwest with gentle breezes Saturday.
Given the cooler shelf waters near the beaches and across
Apalachee Bay, some patchy sea fog will be possible at times given
the rich moisture moving in. Over the weekend, gentle
southwesterly breezes are expected ahead of a weak cold front.
Little to no rain is expected, but winds do clock around out of
the north to northeast Sunday and Monday behind the front.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1246 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Light and variable transport winds on Thursday with mixing heights
around 3,000-4,000 ft will lead to low dispersions for much of the
area. Minimum RH values will mostly be in the 40s Thursday
afternoon. Transport winds will increase out of the south to
southwest for Friday and Saturday with higher mixing heights, thus
dispersions are expected to be fair to good both afternoons. Minimum
RH for Friday and Saturday afternoons will rise to the 50s and 60s.
Chances for wetting rains on Saturday are very low (less than 5%).
Fog, dense at times, is expected in the overnight and morning
hours the next few nights. Fog mixing with smoke will restrict
visibilities to near zero in localized spots.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 1246 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Little to no rain is expected over the next 7 days. Even if a few
showers materialize Saturday, they will be few, far between, and
light. Thus, drought conditions will continue to persist and/or
worsen. For more information about drought locally, visit
www.weather.gov/LocalDrought.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee 56 84 56 81 / 0 0 0 0
Panama City 59 78 61 77 / 0 0 0 0
Dothan 58 83 57 80 / 0 0 0 0
Albany 57 83 56 82 / 0 0 0 0
Valdosta 56 85 54 83 / 0 0 0 0
Cross City 52 84 53 82 / 0 0 0 0
Apalachicola 59 74 61 74 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Dense Fog Advisory from midnight EST /11 PM CST/ tonight to 10
AM EST /9 AM CST/ Thursday for FLZ007>016-108-112-114-115-
326-426.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Dense Fog Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM CST Thursday
for GMZ735.
&&
$$
UPDATE...DVD
SHORT TERM...Young
LONG TERM....Young
AVIATION...Scholl
MARINE...Young
FIRE WEATHER...Young
HYDROLOGY...Young
Office: MFL
FXUS62 KMFL 192239
AFDMFL
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
539 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 537 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
- Mainly sunny and pleasant conditions will remain in place
across South Florida through the week.
- Patchy fog is possible early Thursday morning over interior
portions of South FL.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 1201 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
No major changes to the short or long term forecasts. Did add in
patchy fog over interior South FL again for Thursday morning. It
will mainly be the typical areas of concern again, focusing on
inland travel arteries. Otherwise, another beautiful day across
the region with plenty of sunshine and warm temps in the low to
mid 80s this afternoon. Low temps tonight around 60 near the lake
and ranging from the mid to upper 60s across the rest of South FL.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 1231 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Mainly dry and sunny conditions will continue to prevail over the
next couple of days. Mid-level ridging continues to build over the
CONUS today, while at the surface high pressure will continue to
drift into the Atlantic over the next couple of days. This will
maintain northeasterly flow over the area, and mainly clear skies.
High temperatures today will reach the lower 80s along the
coastline, with mid to upper 80s possible for portions of interior
South Florida.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 1231 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Not much change with the long term outlook as high pressure firmly
remains in control through the weekend into the new work-week. Late
in the weekend a weakening cold front will settle into north Florida
and washout early next week with another area of high pressure
building in from the north. East-northeast flow prevails with the
exception of Sunday where flow will briefly veer more southerly as
the boundary approaches northern Florida. As this feature fizzles,
east-northeast flow returns by Monday. Outside of a few areas of
patchy fog each night and early morning, there really isn't much
expected outside of mostly sunny skies each day.
High temperatures will reach the low to mid 80s each afternoon along
the coasts while some portions of inland SW Florida may hit the
upper 80s. Overnight lows will be in the mid to upper 60s.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 537 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
VFR through the 00Z TAF period. Light and variable winds overnight
into early Thursday morning. Some patchy fog possible early in the
morning over interior South FL. APF will need to be monitored for
fog near the terminal. Easterly winds around 10 kts after 16Z with
a mid afternoon westerly Gulf breeze at APF.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1231 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
A gentle to moderate northeasterly breeze will prevail across local
waters today and tomorrow. Wave heights should remain 3 feet or
less.
&&
.BEACHES...
Issued at 1232 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
Moderate onshore flow will result in an elevated risk of rip
currents along the Palm Beaches through the end of the work week.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami 70 83 70 83 / 0 0 0 0
West Kendall 66 84 65 83 / 0 0 0 0
Opa-Locka 69 84 69 83 / 0 0 0 0
Homestead 69 83 69 82 / 0 0 0 0
Fort Lauderdale 70 81 70 81 / 0 0 0 0
N Ft Lauderdale 70 82 70 82 / 0 0 0 0
Pembroke Pines 69 85 69 85 / 0 0 0 0
West Palm Beach 69 83 69 82 / 0 0 0 0
Boca Raton 69 83 70 83 / 0 0 0 0
Naples 66 84 65 84 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...CMF
