Office: LZK
FXUS64 KLZK 122245 AAA
AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
545 PM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 229 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025
-Seasonably warm temperatures will prevail across the forecast
area through the coming week, with dry and settled conditions
prevailing.
-Unsettled weather, including rain and thunderstorm chances appear
possible across the region by late this week and weekend, but
uncertainties remain.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 229 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025
No significant changes to advertise to the immediate fcst... Mean
H500 ridging wl prevail acrs the Cntrl US thru much of the coming
week, w/ asctd sfc high pressure acrs the Midwest/Great Lakes
region. Seasonably warm afternoon temps, and dry and settled wx
condns wl prevail w/ no appreciable rain chances expected until
late this week.
Towards the end of the PD and into next weekend, long-term
deterministic and ensemble-mean H500 and sfc progs are continuing
to advertise a pattern shift towards more widespread rain chances
for much of the Natural State. Wl continue to monitor for
hazardous wx potential, but for now, uncertainties and variability
remain too large for any concrete details.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 544 PM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025
Expect dominant VFR conditions to persist through this TAF
period. Winds will remain less than 10 kts sustained...SRLY
switching to a more NERLY direction for Mon.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR 56 85 59 85 / 0 0 0 0
Camden AR 56 86 57 86 / 0 0 0 0
Harrison AR 59 83 60 82 / 10 10 0 0
Hot Springs AR 59 87 61 85 / 0 0 0 0
Little Rock AR 60 85 62 84 / 0 0 0 0
Monticello AR 58 87 59 86 / 0 0 0 0
Mount Ida AR 59 87 60 86 / 0 0 0 0
Mountain Home AR 58 84 60 84 / 0 10 0 0
Newport AR 58 86 60 85 / 0 0 0 0
Pine Bluff AR 58 86 59 85 / 0 0 0 0
Russellville AR 61 88 62 88 / 0 0 0 0
Searcy AR 57 86 60 85 / 0 0 0 0
Stuttgart AR 58 85 60 85 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...72
AVIATION...62
