Office: LZK
FXUS64 KLZK 061739
AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1139 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 221 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025
+ Areas of fog are expected to persist this morning across a
large potion of the state.
+ A series of cold fronts will move across the state over the
next several days with temperatures flip flopping a bit.
+ Little if any precipitation if expected over the next seven
days.
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 221 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025
Not many value added changes will be forth coming this morning as
the overall forecast looks on track, at least according to the
latest guidance. Current GOES-19 imagery continues to show a decent
amount of high level moisture moving across the state but also some
clearing now getting into far NW Arkansas.
An expanding area of low clouds and fog is developing across a good
part of the state and while visibilities remain above criteria
currently, some guidance continues to indicate parts of the forecast
areas may see them drop more by morning. Latest observations
indicated patchy fog at many locations and it is expected to persist
through early morning.
Synoptic scale pattern this morning features broad H5 troughing over
the majority of the CONUS. A weak trough embedded in the overall
flow will move through this morning scouring out the low level
moisture, at least temporarily with some clearing expected. The
break in widespread clouds will be temporary as clouds return
tonight in advance of an approaching front. The front will have
virtually no low level moisture to work with and will pass largely
unnoticed on Sunday except for a wind shift back to the NW as
the main trough axis passes to our NE.
Another dry front will be moving through Wednesday with the upper
pattern becoming highly amplified by the end of the week. Pattern
will be characterized by pronounced ridging over the SW and deep
troughing over the remainder of the CONUS. Another dry boundary will
bring a reinforcing shot of cool air to the area next weekend with
Canadian high pressure moving in to close out the forecast period.
While dry conditions are expected, temperatures will fluctuate up
and down with the aforementioned series of boundaries moving
through.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 221 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025
Not many value added changes will be forth coming this morning as
the overall forecast looks on track, at least according to the
latest guidance. Current GOES-19 imagery continues to show a decent
amount of high level moisture moving across the state but also some
clearing now getting into far NW Arkansas.
An expanding area of low clouds and fog is developing across a good
part of the state and while visibilities remain above criteria
currently, some guidance continues to indicate parts of the forecast
areas may see them drop more by morning. Latest observations
indicated patchy fog at many locations and it is expected to persist
through early morning.
Synoptic scale pattern this morning features broad H5 troughing over
the majority of the CONUS. A weak trough embedded in the overall
flow will move through this morning scouring out the low level
moisture, at least temporarily with some clearing expected. The
break in widespread clouds will be temporary as clouds return
tonight in advance of an approaching front. The front will have
virtually no low level moisture to work with and will pass largely
unnoticed on Sunday except for a wind shift back to the NW as
the main trough axis passes to our NE.
Another dry front will be moving through Wednesday with the upper
pattern becoming highly amplified by the end of the week. Pattern
will be characterized by pronounced ridging over the SW and deep
troughing over the remainder of the CONUS. Another dry boundary will
bring a reinforcing shot of cool air to the area next weekend with
Canadian high pressure moving in to close out the forecast period.
While dry conditions are expected, temperatures will fluctuate up
and down with the aforementioned series of boundaries moving
through.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1137 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025
Area of reduced visability due to fog across the central third of
Arkansas will continue to clear through 21z. MVFR ceilings are
expected to develop from northwest to southeast across the
forecast area between 06z and 12z.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR 52 36 52 30 / 0 10 0 0
Camden AR 55 38 55 33 / 0 10 10 0
Harrison AR 53 36 47 26 / 0 0 0 0
Hot Springs AR 51 37 56 32 / 0 0 10 0
Little Rock AR 53 38 55 34 / 0 0 10 0
Monticello AR 54 40 56 36 / 0 0 20 10
Mount Ida AR 53 38 56 30 / 0 0 0 0
Mountain Home AR 53 35 49 27 / 0 0 0 0
Newport AR 49 37 54 32 / 0 0 0 0
Pine Bluff AR 52 37 55 34 / 0 0 10 0
Russellville AR 53 37 56 31 / 0 0 0 0
Searcy AR 52 35 54 31 / 0 10 0 0
Stuttgart AR 49 38 55 34 / 0 0 10 0
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...55
