Office: LZK
FXUS64 KLZK 091128
AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
628 AM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025
...New AVIATION...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 224 AM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025
No major changes to the current forecast as models are generally
in good agreement. After a fairly rainy Tuesday around the Natural
State, rain coverage looks to be quite a bit less across the
state on Wednesday...with the best chances forecast to be across
the south. Do think the NBM is somewhat overdoing the PoPs and do
prefer more of the HRRR solution for the day. A few isolated
showers and thunderstorms can not be ruled out.
Across the CONUS, aloft a ridge of high pressure will be centered
across the SW with a Trough located just to the north of
Arkansas. This trough is what is going to suppress thunderstorms
development on Wednesday.
As we head into the weekend, a cold front will approach the state
from the NW and bring an increase of rain chances to the
state...especially across NW portions of the state. Ahead of the
front, temperatures will warm by a degree or two each day as to
round out the work week.
For the start of next week, aloft the flow will become nearly
zonal to the north of the state with weak high pressure building
over the area. Expect temperatures to climb into the upper 90's
by the middle of next week with heat index values approaching 110.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 626 AM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025
Very little change to the previous TAF forecast. Seeing some
patchy fog, and patchy low clouds during the early morning
hours...but these are expected to burn off later today with VFR
ceilings and light winds.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR 90 71 91 73 / 30 10 20 10
Camden AR 89 71 92 72 / 70 20 40 10
Harrison AR 88 69 90 72 / 10 0 10 0
Hot Springs AR 91 73 93 73 / 50 10 30 10
Little Rock AR 90 75 92 75 / 50 10 30 10
Monticello AR 89 73 91 75 / 70 20 50 10
Mount Ida AR 90 72 92 73 / 50 10 30 0
Mountain Home AR 88 69 91 72 / 10 0 10 0
Newport AR 90 73 92 75 / 30 10 20 10
Pine Bluff AR 89 73 91 74 / 60 10 40 10
Russellville AR 91 73 93 74 / 30 10 20 0
Searcy AR 90 72 92 73 / 30 10 20 10
Stuttgart AR 89 75 91 75 / 50 10 30 10
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...65
LONG TERM....65
AVIATION...65
