Office: LZK
FXUS64 KLZK 061153
AFDLZK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
553 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025
...New AVIATION...
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 221 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025
+ Areas of fog are expected to persist this morning across a
large potion of the state.
+ A series of cold fronts will move across the state over the
next several days with temperatures flip flopping a bit.
+ Little if any precipitation if expected over the next seven
days.
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 221 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025
Not many value added changes will be forth coming this morning as
the overall forecast looks on track, at least according to the
latest guidance. Current GOES-19 imagery continues to show a decent
amount of high level moisture moving across the state but also some
clearing now getting into far NW Arkansas.
An expanding area of low clouds and fog is developing across a good
part of the state and while visibilities remain above criteria
currently, some guidance continues to indicate parts of the forecast
areas may see them drop more by morning. Latest observations
indicated patchy fog at many locations and it is expected to persist
through early morning.
Synoptic scale pattern this morning features broad H5 troughing over
the majority of the CONUS. A weak trough embedded in the overall
flow will move through this morning scouring out the low level
moisture, at least temporarily with some clearing expected. The
break in widespread clouds will be temporary as clouds return
tonight in advance of an approaching front. The front will have
virtually no low level moisture to work with and will pass largely
unnoticed on Sunday except for a wind shift back to the NW as
the main trough axis passes to our NE.
Another dry front will be moving through Wednesday with the upper
pattern becoming highly amplified by the end of the week. Pattern
will be characterized by pronounced ridging over the SW and deep
troughing over the remainder of the CONUS. Another dry boundary will
bring a reinforcing shot of cool air to the area next weekend with
Canadian high pressure moving in to close out the forecast period.
While dry conditions are expected, temperatures will fluctuate up
and down with the aforementioned series of boundaries moving
through.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 221 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025
Not many value added changes will be forth coming this morning as
the overall forecast looks on track, at least according to the
latest guidance. Current GOES-19 imagery continues to show a decent
amount of high level moisture moving across the state but also some
clearing now getting into far NW Arkansas.
An expanding area of low clouds and fog is developing across a good
part of the state and while visibilities remain above criteria
currently, some guidance continues to indicate parts of the forecast
areas may see them drop more by morning. Latest observations
indicated patchy fog at many locations and it is expected to persist
through early morning.
Synoptic scale pattern this morning features broad H5 troughing over
the majority of the CONUS. A weak trough embedded in the overall
flow will move through this morning scouring out the low level
moisture, at least temporarily with some clearing expected. The
break in widespread clouds will be temporary as clouds return
tonight in advance of an approaching front. The front will have
virtually no low level moisture to work with and will pass largely
unnoticed on Sunday except for a wind shift back to the NW as
the main trough axis passes to our NE.
Another dry front will be moving through Wednesday with the upper
pattern becoming highly amplified by the end of the week. Pattern
will be characterized by pronounced ridging over the SW and deep
troughing over the remainder of the CONUS. Another dry boundary will
bring a reinforcing shot of cool air to the area next weekend with
Canadian high pressure moving in to close out the forecast period.
While dry conditions are expected, temperatures will fluctuate up
and down with the aforementioned series of boundaries moving
through.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 550 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025
Widespread dense fog has developed across central Arkansas this
morning and will be impacting several TAF sites. MVFR to
occasionally IFR conditions are expected at these terminals with
light winds. All terminals should return to VFR conditions this
afternoon but additional fog is expected late in the forecast
period. Winds will remain light through the period.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR 51 37 53 28 / 0 0 0 10
Camden AR 55 39 57 33 / 0 10 10 10
Harrison AR 54 37 46 24 / 0 0 0 0
Hot Springs AR 52 38 56 31 / 0 0 10 10
Little Rock AR 51 39 56 33 / 0 0 10 10
Monticello AR 55 42 58 36 / 0 0 20 10
Mount Ida AR 55 38 56 29 / 0 0 0 0
Mountain Home AR 52 36 48 24 / 0 10 0 0
Newport AR 49 38 53 29 / 0 0 10 10
Pine Bluff AR 52 38 56 33 / 0 0 10 10
Russellville AR 53 37 56 30 / 0 0 0 0
Searcy AR 51 35 56 30 / 0 0 10 10
Stuttgart AR 50 39 55 32 / 0 0 10 10
&&
.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM CST this morning for ARZ024-031-
039-122-123-138-222-223-238.
Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM CST this morning for ARZ032>034-
043>047-055>057.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...56
LONG TERM....56
AVIATION...56
