al discuss
Office: BMX
FXUS64 KBMX 072342
AFDBMX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
542 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 523 PM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
- Low to medium chances for fog with visibilities below one mile
in east-central and southeastern portions of Central Alabama
this evening.
- Another round of light rain will move across all of Central
Alabama overnight.
- Temperatures into next weekend will again fall to below
average, with an extended period of below freezing nights
possible.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 540 PM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
Drizzle continues across some of our southeastern counties,
causing some reduced visibilities at times. Patchy fog with
visibilities below one mile has been observed in Georgia, with
low to medium chances that it makes it into our far east-
central/southeastern counties. Not expecting any widespread dense
fog, however. Next shortwave is apparent on radar/water vapor
imagery across the ArkLaMiss. This will bring another round of
light to moderate stratiform rain overnight, and PoPs have been
increased. Northerly winds are expected behind the cold front
tomorrow. Some of the abundant low-level moisture will likely get
trapped under a low-level inversion, so wouldn't be surprised if
low clouds hang around longer tomorrow than some models are
showing. Have therefore trended high temperatures downward for
tomorrow.
32/JDavis
Previous discussion:
(This afternoon through next Friday)
Issued at 1146 AM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
Very thick cloud cover remains draped across the region, and will
likely remain in place for the next day or two. The bulk of the
moisture in our airmass is contained in this shallow layer of
clouds. Given it's proximity to the surface, some showers and
drizzle will be possible this afternoon, before more organized rain
chances move in by tonight. This rain will be associated with the
trough and cold front we've been mentioning for the last few days,
with dry air moving quickly behind it. As such, rain chances will
exit the forecast until closer to next weekend.
Temperatures will slightly warm into the middle of the week, with
Wednesday and Thursday still being our warmest days of this forecast
period. However, this will all be ahead of a major pattern shift,
setting the stage for perhaps our coldest stretch of temperatures
yet. On Wednesday, a very deep low and trough will skirt the
Great Lakes, bringing a frigid airmass with it. Over the next
several days, a series of deep lows will follow similar paths,
with each low dropping farther south than the other. This first
system will work through our region on Thursday night, with the
next big push over the Midwest taking place on Friday. Lows on
Friday and Saturday will be well below freezing, with some
locations falling into the teens. Given the depth of this cold air
advection, afternoon highs on Saturday may not even climb out of
the 40's for some people.
Now, with all that being said, this forecast is tied to the depth of
the trough, and how far south it drops. So if one of these lows
doesn't deepen enough, or if one of them doesn't materialize, then
the trough would stay farther north, keeping temperatures
"warmer." However, there is already incredible consistency here.
So even if it doesn't get as cold as advertised, we will still be
looking at well below average temperatures across the region come
this time next weekend.
/44/
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 540 PM CST SUN DEC 7 2025
Cigs are currently MVFR to IFR with patchy drizzle present,
especially near AUO resulting in occasional reduced visibilities.
Cigs will quickly lower back down to IFR this evening, and LIFR in
spots especially AUO. Another batch of light rain will move
through overnight. For Monday, northerly winds will develop. Cigs
will lift to MVFR by mid-morning, but MVFR cigs may persist much
of the day especially at at the northern terminals.
32/JDavis
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Rain remains in the forecast through tonight, as drier conditions
are anticipated through the middle of the week. With that being
said, MinRH values will remain above 50% into next weekend, and
given all the recent rainfall, fire weather concerns will remain
little to none for the next six days.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden 40 49 26 53 / 80 0 0 0
Anniston 41 50 29 54 / 90 0 0 0
Birmingham 42 49 29 53 / 90 0 0 0
Tuscaloosa 44 52 29 55 / 90 0 0 0
Calera 41 52 29 55 / 80 0 0 0
Auburn 43 54 34 53 / 70 0 0 0
Montgomery 44 56 31 55 / 70 0 0 0
Troy 45 55 31 55 / 70 0 0 0
&&
.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...32/JDavis
AVIATION...32/JDavis
Office: MOB
FXUS64 KMOB 072357
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
557 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 548 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025
- Light to moderate rain will continue to move east and out of
of the area this afternoon. More light rain is possible
tonight ahead of a cold front.
- A strong cold front sweeps across the area tonight into early
Monday, which will lead to gusty winds area-wide on Monday.
Temperatures fall below freezing for locations generally north
of I-10 by sunrise on Tuesday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 103 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025
An area of light to moderate rain will continue to move east and
out of the area later this afternoon. Behind this, some patchy fog
and light drizzle will continue for a couple more hours. Visible
satellite is showing clearing skies across portions of southeast
Mississippi early this afternoon and few areas across SE MS and SW
AL will see some sun this afternoon. Clouds and another chance of
light showers will return tonight ahead of a strong cold front
that move across the area overnight. A cooler and drier airmass
will move into the area in the wake of the front for Monday. Highs
on Monday will struggle to get into the mid to upper 50s with
breezy conditions throughout the day. Overnight low temperatures
will plunge into the upper 20s to low 30s north of I-10 with mid
to upper 30s near the coastline by sunrise on Tuesday. Highs on
Tuesday will again be in the mid and upper 50s across the area
with lows in the low to mid 30s inland to low/mid 40s along the
coast Tuesday night.
Wednesday and Thursday will feature moderating temps and dry
conditions. Another strong cold front moves through late in the
week bringing another shot of cold air into the region. /13
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 548 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025
LIFR ceilings will continue through the overnight and pre-dawn
hours on Monday. Visibilities will continue to bounce around over
the next few hours with brief VLIFR restrictions possible,
especially along the immediate coastline. Another brief round of
rain showers is expected just ahead of the cold front after
midnight. Light winds will shift northerly and increase behind the
front, which will lead to ceilings rising to IFR/MVFR levels in
the late morning and afternoon hours. 07/mb
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 103 PM CST Sun Dec 7 2025
Easterly winds today will turn northerly and increase late
tonight into early Monday behind a strong cold front. Small Craft
Advisory conditions are expected Monday with conditions subsiding
by Monday night. Winds turn southwesterly by mid week. Another
round of strong northerly winds are expected next weekend. /13
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 48 58 35 58 / 60 0 0 0
Pensacola 52 59 39 57 / 60 10 0 0
Destin 52 61 41 58 / 60 10 0 0
Evergreen 44 58 31 58 / 70 0 0 0
Waynesboro 43 55 30 56 / 80 0 0 0
Camden 43 54 29 55 / 70 0 0 0
Crestview 48 58 34 58 / 50 10 0 0
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...Dense Fog Advisory until midnight CST tonight for GMZ630>632-650.
Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM Monday to midnight CST Monday
night for GMZ630>632-650-655-670-675.
&&
$$
