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Office: BMX
FXUS64 KBMX 061151
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
551 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 547 AM CST SAT DEC 6 2025

 - Low to medium chances of patchy to dense fog developing
   overnight, with the lowest visibilities in the south.

 - Below average high temperatures are anticipated through
   Tuesday, with the exception of Sunday being near average.

 - Low temperatures Monday night are likely to dip into the mid to
   upper 20s across much of Central Alabama, with the exception of
   southeastern counties.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through next Friday)
Issued at 1202 AM CST SAT DEC 6 2025

Today through Sunday

Higher rains chances continue today across the southeastern
counties, especially south of the I-85 corridor. Additional rain
totals will generally be less than a half inch. Highs in the low to
mid 50s today and mid 50s to low 60s on Sunday as the region sees
some warming in advance of an approaching trough. Rain chances will
return across the entire area Sunday afternoon into early Monday
morning as a cold front sweeps through the area.

Monday through Friday

Dry conditions are expected Monday through Wednesday across Central
Alabama. Monday will be a touch cooler than Sunday but highs will
rebound back to the upper 50s to mid 60s by Wednesday. Monday night
is still on track to be a cold one, with lows in the 20s across most
areas north and west of the I-85 corridor. Another trough drops into
the Ohio Valley region by way of Alberta, Montana, and the Dakotas
by Wednesday evening. Maintaining rain chances from Wednesday night
into Friday morning as 2-3 shortwaves work through the region.
Thursday will potentially be the warmest day of the week, with mid
to upper 60s across the southern half of the area.

12

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 547 AM CST SAT DEC 6 2025

Periodic light rain remains in the forecast for AUO and MGM, with
TEMPO RA through 19z. From now through the mid- morning hours,
reduced cigs into the IFR or LIFR range can be expected at all
sites. This will improve back to MVFR by late morning and VFR by
afternoon at BHM, TCL, and EET. MGM and AUO may hang on to IFR or
MVFR a little longer but should improve to VFR by mid to late
afternoon as well. Ceilings drop again after 6z. Will need to
monitor the fog development overnight, especially in the south,
where the lowest visibility will be.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Light rain remains in the forecast through the weekend. MinRH values
will remain above 50% through Monday, and above 40% Tuesday and
Wednesday. Fire weather concerns remain limited through mid week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     52  31  56  38 /  10   0  20  50
Anniston    52  34  59  40 /  20   0  20  50
Birmingham  52  36  58  41 /  20   0  20  50
Tuscaloosa  54  37  61  41 /  20   0  20  40
Calera      54  36  61  40 /  20   0  20  50
Auburn      53  41  58  44 /  50   0  30  50
Montgomery  54  41  59  45 /  50  10  30  50
Troy        53  42  60  44 /  80  20  30  50

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...12
AVIATION...16



Office: MOB FXUS64 KMOB 061122 AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 522 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 516 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025 - Additional rounds of light to rain will occur over the weekend and mainly be focused near and southeast of the I-65 corridor. - A strong cold front will move across the area late Sunday night into early Monday morning, resulting in hazardous marine conditions for small craft through Monday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1258 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025 Periods of light rain will continue through the weekend as a longwave trough moves ever slow slowly eastward across eastern North America with the base sagging southward into our region. We are only expecting additional rainfall amounts to range from 0.1 to 0.4 of an inch northwest of the Interstate-65 corridor, and from 0.4 to 0.8 of an inch to the southeast over the weekend. Light winds will also occur over the weekend as a strong cold front approaches our region from the northwest, and there could be some patchy fog developing late Saturday night across the northern half of the forecast area. This cold front will pass through the area Sunday night ushering in a much cooler and drier airmass as a strong surface high pressure area builds in from the north. We are still forecasting sub-freezing temperatures across the northern half of the forecast area Monday night. Dry weather conditions will prevail through the remainder of the forecast, although a few spotty light showers may occur Wednesday night and Thursday night. Beach Forecast: A LOW risk of rip currents will occur through the middle of next week. /22 && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 522 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025 Predominately IFR/LIFR conditions over the area improve to IFR/MVFR this morning with VFR conditions developing this afternoon across interior portions of southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama. An IFR/LIFR ceiling reforms across the area tonight. Rain will primarily affect areas along and east of I-65 through mid afternoon, after which coverage diminishes. Light north to northeast winds become northeast to east this afternoon. && .MARINE... Issued at 1258 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025 Mariners operating small craft on the Gulf from 20-60nm should exercise caution today. A Small Craft Advisory will likely be required late Sunday night through Monday evening as a strong cold front passes through the region. Otherwise, a light to moderate northerly flow will shift northeasterly this afternoon, and then easterly to southeasterly tonight. Winds will shift back to northeasterly on Sunday prior to the arrival of the cold front. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 52 48 66 48 / 80 20 30 50 Pensacola 54 51 66 52 / 80 40 50 60 Destin 55 52 66 52 / 90 50 60 60 Evergreen 52 42 65 44 / 70 10 30 50 Waynesboro 54 41 63 43 / 30 10 30 50 Camden 53 40 61 43 / 40 0 30 50 Crestview 51 45 64 47 / 80 40 50 50 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$