Office: BMX
FXUS64 KBMX 061151
AFDBMX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
551 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 547 AM CST SAT DEC 6 2025
- Low to medium chances of patchy to dense fog developing
overnight, with the lowest visibilities in the south.
- Below average high temperatures are anticipated through
Tuesday, with the exception of Sunday being near average.
- Low temperatures Monday night are likely to dip into the mid to
upper 20s across much of Central Alabama, with the exception of
southeastern counties.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
(Today through next Friday)
Issued at 1202 AM CST SAT DEC 6 2025
Today through Sunday
Higher rains chances continue today across the southeastern
counties, especially south of the I-85 corridor. Additional rain
totals will generally be less than a half inch. Highs in the low to
mid 50s today and mid 50s to low 60s on Sunday as the region sees
some warming in advance of an approaching trough. Rain chances will
return across the entire area Sunday afternoon into early Monday
morning as a cold front sweeps through the area.
Monday through Friday
Dry conditions are expected Monday through Wednesday across Central
Alabama. Monday will be a touch cooler than Sunday but highs will
rebound back to the upper 50s to mid 60s by Wednesday. Monday night
is still on track to be a cold one, with lows in the 20s across most
areas north and west of the I-85 corridor. Another trough drops into
the Ohio Valley region by way of Alberta, Montana, and the Dakotas
by Wednesday evening. Maintaining rain chances from Wednesday night
into Friday morning as 2-3 shortwaves work through the region.
Thursday will potentially be the warmest day of the week, with mid
to upper 60s across the southern half of the area.
12
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 547 AM CST SAT DEC 6 2025
Periodic light rain remains in the forecast for AUO and MGM, with
TEMPO RA through 19z. From now through the mid- morning hours,
reduced cigs into the IFR or LIFR range can be expected at all
sites. This will improve back to MVFR by late morning and VFR by
afternoon at BHM, TCL, and EET. MGM and AUO may hang on to IFR or
MVFR a little longer but should improve to VFR by mid to late
afternoon as well. Ceilings drop again after 6z. Will need to
monitor the fog development overnight, especially in the south,
where the lowest visibility will be.
16
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Light rain remains in the forecast through the weekend. MinRH values
will remain above 50% through Monday, and above 40% Tuesday and
Wednesday. Fire weather concerns remain limited through mid week.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden 52 31 56 38 / 10 0 20 50
Anniston 52 34 59 40 / 20 0 20 50
Birmingham 52 36 58 41 / 20 0 20 50
Tuscaloosa 54 37 61 41 / 20 0 20 40
Calera 54 36 61 40 / 20 0 20 50
Auburn 53 41 58 44 / 50 0 30 50
Montgomery 54 41 59 45 / 50 10 30 50
Troy 53 42 60 44 / 80 20 30 50
&&
.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...12
AVIATION...16
Office: MOB
FXUS64 KMOB 061122
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
522 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 516 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025
- Additional rounds of light to rain will occur over the weekend
and mainly be focused near and southeast of the I-65
corridor.
- A strong cold front will move across the area late Sunday
night into early Monday morning, resulting in hazardous marine
conditions for small craft through Monday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1258 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025
Periods of light rain will continue through the weekend as a
longwave trough moves ever slow slowly eastward across eastern
North America with the base sagging southward into our region. We
are only expecting additional rainfall amounts to range from 0.1
to 0.4 of an inch northwest of the Interstate-65 corridor, and
from 0.4 to 0.8 of an inch to the southeast over the weekend.
Light winds will also occur over the weekend as a strong cold
front approaches our region from the northwest, and there could be
some patchy fog developing late Saturday night across the
northern half of the forecast area. This cold front will pass
through the area Sunday night ushering in a much cooler and drier
airmass as a strong surface high pressure area builds in from the
north. We are still forecasting sub-freezing temperatures across
the northern half of the forecast area Monday night. Dry weather
conditions will prevail through the remainder of the forecast,
although a few spotty light showers may occur Wednesday night and
Thursday night.
Beach Forecast: A LOW risk of rip currents will occur through the
middle of next week. /22
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 522 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025
Predominately IFR/LIFR conditions over the area improve to
IFR/MVFR this morning with VFR conditions developing this
afternoon across interior portions of southeast Mississippi and
southwest Alabama. An IFR/LIFR ceiling reforms across the area
tonight. Rain will primarily affect areas along and east of I-65
through mid afternoon, after which coverage diminishes. Light
north to northeast winds become northeast to east this afternoon.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1258 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025
Mariners operating small craft on the Gulf from 20-60nm should
exercise caution today. A Small Craft Advisory will likely be
required late Sunday night through Monday evening as a strong cold
front passes through the region. Otherwise, a light to moderate
northerly flow will shift northeasterly this afternoon, and then
easterly to southeasterly tonight. Winds will shift back to
northeasterly on Sunday prior to the arrival of the cold front.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 52 48 66 48 / 80 20 30 50
Pensacola 54 51 66 52 / 80 40 50 60
Destin 55 52 66 52 / 90 50 60 60
Evergreen 52 42 65 44 / 70 10 30 50
Waynesboro 54 41 63 43 / 30 10 30 50
Camden 53 40 61 43 / 40 0 30 50
Crestview 51 45 64 47 / 80 40 50 50
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
