Office: BMX
FXUS64 KBMX 090520
AFDBMX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1120 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1116 PM CST MON DEC 8 2025
- Lows tonight will fall below freezing for nearly all of
Central Alabama.
- Seasonable temperatures expected this week with little chance
for rain until the weekend.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
(Today through next Monday)
Issued at 1116 PM CST MON DEC 8 2025
High pressure is expected to build into the region today, leading to
some clearing of the persistent cloud cover that we've seen over the
past few days. Southerly flow returns Wednesday ahead of another
frontal passage, but deep moisture return will be lacking, so we're
not expecting any significant rain chances with the next frontal
passage Wednesday into Thursday. Rain-free weather is expected to
continue through the end of the week.
Another wave is expected to dip through the main upper level trough
over the weekend. An effective warm front appears to lift northward
through the area on Saturday before the main cold front pushes
through Saturday night into Sunday, leading to increased rain
chances. Keeping the overall probabilities low for now as coverage
of any rainfall still remains uncertain.
25/Owen
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1116 PM CST MON DEC 8 2025
Low ceilings appear to be the main concern over the next 6 - 10
hours with MVFR stratus remaining persistent across the northern
half of Central AL. HREF probabilities still point to high
chances of IFR CIGS for BHM, EET, and TCL from roughly 4-6am to
9am. After that, ceilings improve and clouds become more scattered
as we go into the afternoon and should remain that way through
the remainder of the period.
25/Owen
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
MinRHs will generally remain above 40% for the next several days
with little to no rain chances through the remainder of the week.
We'll see southerly flow today, shifting more westerly then
northerly with our next frontal passage Wednesday into Thursday.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden 27 51 32 59 / 0 0 0 0
Anniston 28 53 34 60 / 0 0 0 0
Birmingham 29 51 36 59 / 0 0 0 0
Tuscaloosa 29 53 34 61 / 0 0 0 0
Calera 29 54 34 62 / 0 0 0 0
Auburn 32 52 34 60 / 0 0 0 0
Montgomery 32 53 32 63 / 0 0 0 0
Troy 32 53 31 63 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...25/Owen
AVIATION...25/Owen
Office: MOB
FXUS64 KMOB 090711
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
111 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 105 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025
- Temperatures plunge into the upper 20s to low 30s for
locations generally north of I-10 by sunrise this morning.
- Breezy conditions are possible Wednesday afternoon ahead of
the next front.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 105 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025
Much drier and colder air continues to filter into the area early
this morning behind a potent cold front. Temperatures have already
crashed into the 30s inland with low 40s at the beaches as of
midnight. Temperatures will continue to tumble down into the upper
20s to low 30s across inland communities with upper 30s at the
beaches by around sunrise. The forecast remains on track this
morning and through the rest of the period.
High pressure builds into the area in the wake of the cold front
today. Expect one more day and night of chilly temperatures before
the roller coaster of temperatures begins. The pressure gradient
increases across the area on Wednesday between the surface high over
the Gulf and a quick-moving surface low pivoting across the Great
Lakes region. Onshore flow ramps up with breezy conditions expected
in the afternoon on Wednesday, especially across the northern half
of our area. Temperatures quickly rebound on Wednesday in this
regime with highs topping out in the 60s - a few spots may even
approach 70°. A weak cold front will sag into the area late
Wednesday as the surface low jet sets off to the northeast.
Temperatures will nose dive back into the 30s and 40s Wednesday
night into early Thursday morning. High pressure moves back into the
area on Thursday in the wake of that front. Steady onshore flow
develops on the backside of the high as it continues to trek
eastward, so expect another moderating trend with the temperatures.
The warmest day in the forecast period is Saturday with highs
topping out in the upper 60s to low 70s area-wide. Yet another front
slides into the area early on Sunday. While moisture return isn't
optimal for this front (similar to the previously mentioned front),
we cannot rule out some rain showers in the morning hours. The
blended forecast is dry right now, but don't be surprised if we see
rain chances start to creep up, especially west of I-65. Overnight
temperatures crash into the 30s and 40s again Sunday night into
Monday morning. The next chance for more substantial rain will
probably come in the middle of next week.
Beach Forecast - Rip current risk remains LOW through the weekend in
the current pattern. However, the current probabilistic data has
started showing the possibility of reaching a MODERATE risk in the
late afternoon and evening hours on Wednesday for our Florida
beaches, especially Destin. 07/mb
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 105 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025
The shield of MVFR ceilings has finally eroded across the area
with VFR conditions expected through the rest of the TAF cycle.
Northerly winds will continue to gradually relax through the
period. 07/mb
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 105 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025
Northerly winds will continue to gradually relax early this
morning. Westerly to southwesterly winds are expected in the
middle to end of the week. Southerly winds develop on Friday and
Saturday ahead of another cold front that slides through late in
the weekend. 07/mb
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 56 39 67 40 / 0 0 0 0
Pensacola 56 45 65 44 / 0 0 0 0
Destin 57 46 66 46 / 0 0 0 0
Evergreen 57 32 66 36 / 0 0 0 0
Waynesboro 55 34 64 35 / 0 0 0 0
Camden 54 33 63 34 / 0 0 0 0
Crestview 57 32 66 38 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
