Multiple Meteorological Data Ensemble


Start with cleanup

captex_control.txt

   load control file

captex_setup.txt

   load setup file

numpar = 10000

   namelist particle number



Configure each simulation and run

output file

  meteorology file

  statistics file

hysplit2.001

  captex2_wrf27uw.bin

  statA_wrf27uw.txt

hysplit2.002

  captex2_era40.bin

  statA_era40.txt

hysplit2.003

  captex2_narr.bin

  statA_narr.txt

hysplit2.004

  captex2_wrf27.bin

  statA_wrf27.txt

hysplit2.005

  captex2_wrf09.bin

  statA_wrf09.txt




Concentration Probabilities

42.25 -78.80

   Little Valley NY


  • Results show a much tighter distribution than previous ensembles
  • Not sufficiently independent because 3 of 5 members used WRF




  • Ensemble Mean Concentration