FNUS71 KRNK 291033
FWSRNK
Spot Forecast for Pine Hall Brick...NC Forest Service
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
633 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will result in dry weather and unseasonably warm
temperatures today. Min RH percent will be 35 percent.
A low pressure system will then push a cold front through the
region on Tuesday, bringing a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Temperatures will remain above normal through the middle of the
week. Some shower and thunderstorm potential continues for parts
of the area Wednesday, and again Friday into the weekend.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest 13 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (23300 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (61200 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................34 early in the morning increasing to 83 in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2 2 1 1 1 1 0 1 1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............67 70 74 76 77 79 80 82 82
RH..............71 64 57 52 46 42 40 37 35
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 7 8 9 9 7 7
20 FT wind gust.10 10 10 10 11 12 12 13 12
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 2.5 3.2 3.7 4.1 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.5
Mixng wind dir..W W W W SW SW SW SW SW
Mixng wind spd..14 15 15 16 16 16 15 14 13
LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............34 45 59 70 79 83 81 74 67
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
VRate mph-ft/1K.27 36 48 57 66 70 69 63 57
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
CWR (0.01 in).......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest 5 to 13 mph decreasing to 3 to 5 mph
after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (44800 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (1500 knot-ft) late in the
night.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................61 early in the evening decreasing to 2 late in
the night.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
large plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........3 7 6 7 9 34
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............81 75 68 65 63 61
RH..............38 47 61 69 75 79
20 ft wind......SW 6 S 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4
20 ft wind gust.11 7 8 7 7 7
Mix hgt (ft)....4200 500 500 400 400 400
Mixing wind.....SW 13 S 12 SW 8 SW 5 SW 5 SW 3
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 4 4
ADI.............61 5 3 2 2 2
Haines index....5 5 5 5 4 3
VRate mph-ft/1K.52 5 3 2 2 2
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
CWR (0.01 in).......10 percent increasing to 20 percent late in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest 6 to 15 mph increasing to 18 to 22
mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2300 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (88000 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 early in the morning increasing to 83 in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........40 33 53 75 70 75
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10
Temp............60 62 69 76 80 81
RH..............84 85 71 59 51 49
20 ft wind......SW 4 SW 5 SW 8 SW 9 SW 9 SW 9
20 ft wind gust.8 10 12 14 14 14
Mix hgt (ft)....400 1100 2600 4300 5500 5100
Mixing wind.....SW 6 SW 12 SW 20 SW 22 SW 18 SW 20
LVORI...........5 4 3 1 1 1
ADI.............3 16 57 83 59 61
Haines index....3 4 4 4 4 4
VRate mph-ft/1K.3 12 50 93 101 101
$$
Forecaster...Silverman
Requested by...Dakota Paris
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412624.0/RNK
.DELDT 04/29/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL d10opsrm@ncagr.gov
