mn fire
FNUS73 KMPX 011905
FWSMPX
Spot Forecast for Smac Rx...Shakopee Mdewakanton Sioux Community
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
205 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 CDT on May 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...For the Smac Rx Burn, this afternoon will be mostly
to partly sunny with temperatures in the mid 60s. Relative
humidity values will bottom out around 40%. Breezy westerly winds
will turn northwesterly and slow by this evening. However, gusts
of 25-30 MPH are possible through this afternoon.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Temperature.........62 at ignition...Max 64.
RH..................48 percent at ignition...Min 46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 14 mph at
ignition...otherwise Northwest winds 10 to 14
mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent /84500 knot-ft/ at ignition.
Max...excellent /84500 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4400 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 17 to 22 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.
TIME (CDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM
Sky cover.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............62 62 63 62 60 59 58 56 55 54 53 52
RH..............48 48 46 48 53 55 57 62 64 66 71 74
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW N E SE SE E E E
20 FT wind spd..14 13 10 8 6 3 3 3 3 5 6 6
20 FT wind gust.22 20 17 13 9 6 6 6 7 7 8 10
Mix hgt (kft)...4.4 4.4 3.8 2.7 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.NW NW NW N N NW E E E SE E E
Transp wind spd.22 20 17 14 9 6 5 5 6 6 7 8
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers after 3 am. Chance of rain showers
after 3 am.
Temperature.........Min 49.
RH..................Max 83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph early in the evening
becoming light, then becoming east 5 to 7 mph
overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (32100 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (1700 knot-ft) late in the
night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 14 mph shifting to the east 5 to 13
mph in the late evening and overnight, then
increasing to around 15 mph early in the
morning.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers.
Temperature.........Max 56.
RH..................Min 77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8700 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (34000 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 14 to 23 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
$$
Forecaster...Grunzke
Requested by...Rachel Crownhart
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412955.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Rachel.Crownhart@shakopeedakota.org
FNUS83 KMPX 011957
FWMMPX
FCST,214001,240502,13,8,51,80,1,1,E,11,M,61,47,86,49,0,7,N
FCST,214001,240503,13,1,66,41,1,1,WSW,11,M,66,43,96,40,4,0,N
FCST,214001,240504,13,1,60,49,1,1,W,09,M,66,46,86,40,0,0,N
FCST,214001,240505,13,0,66,40,1,1,S,08,M,66,42,82,39,0,0,N
FCST,214001,240506,13,2,71,52,1,1,SE,14,M,71,51,77,36,0,0,N
FCST,214001,240507,13,2,67,53,1,1,S,16,M,73,58,86,49,9,0,N
FCST,214001,240508,13,2,62,54,1,1,NNW,11,M,67,50,80,50,0,0,N
FCST,214501,240502,13,3,51,80,1,1,E,11,M,61,47,89,44,0,6,N
FCST,214501,240503,13,1,64,42,1,1,WSW,11,M,66,43,96,40,0,0,N
FCST,214501,240504,13,1,60,46,1,1,WNW,11,M,66,46,89,40,0,0,N
FCST,214501,240505,13,1,66,38,1,1,SSE,10,M,67,42,89,37,0,0,N
FCST,214501,240506,13,2,71,55,1,1,SE,17,M,72,52,80,36,0,0,N
FCST,214501,240507,13,2,66,52,1,1,SSW,17,M,73,58,87,50,9,0,N
FCST,214501,240508,13,2,61,55,1,1,NW,11,M,68,50,83,47,0,0,N
FCST,215601,240502,13,3,53,82,1,2,E,11,M,63,49,86,46,0,8,N
FCST,215601,240503,13,1,66,42,2,1,W,09,M,67,45,93,40,0,0,N
FCST,215601,240504,13,1,61,51,1,1,NW,10,M,69,49,80,36,0,0,N
FCST,215601,240505,13,1,68,39,1,1,SSE,09,M,68,44,82,36,0,0,N
FCST,215601,240506,13,2,72,54,1,1,SE,15,M,73,53,74,33,0,0,N
FCST,215601,240507,13,2,69,51,1,1,SSW,17,M,74,60,84,48,9,0,N
FCST,215601,240508,13,2,62,57,1,1,WNW,11,M,70,51,80,44,0,0,N
FCST,213301,240502,13,8,50,83,1,1,E,11,M,59,45,86,53,0,7,N
FCST,213301,240503,13,1,65,43,1,1,WSW,11,M,66,42,100,41,5,0,N
FCST,213301,240504,13,2,59,51,1,1,W,10,M,66,46,86,37,0,0,N
FCST,213301,240505,13,0,66,40,1,1,S,08,M,66,40,89,38,0,0,N
FCST,213301,240506,13,2,70,52,1,1,SE,15,M,71,49,80,37,0,0,N
FCST,213301,240507,13,2,66,54,1,1,S,15,M,72,55,90,47,0,0,N
FCST,213301,240508,13,2,60,56,1,1,NNE,11,M,67,48,86,50,0,0,N
FCST,213102,240502,13,8,50,80,1,1,E,11,M,59,46,89,51,0,6,N
FCST,213102,240503,13,1,63,42,1,1,WSW,11,M,63,42,96,39,4,0,N
FCST,213102,240504,13,1,59,46,1,1,W,11,M,64,44,89,38,0,0,N
FCST,213102,240505,13,1,66,40,1,1,S,09,M,66,40,89,38,0,0,N
FCST,213102,240506,13,2,69,56,1,1,SE,15,M,69,51,77,37,0,0,N
FCST,213102,240507,13,2,65,55,1,1,S,15,M,70,57,86,49,0,0,N
FCST,213102,240508,13,2,60,54,1,1,NNE,12,M,65,48,83,48,0,0,N
FCST,214201,240502,13,8,52,83,1,1,E,11,M,61,47,89,51,0,7,Y
FCST,214201,240503,13,1,66,44,1,1,WSW,10,M,67,44,96,39,4,0,N
FCST,214201,240504,13,1,60,54,1,1,WNW,10,M,68,48,83,36,0,0,N
FCST,214201,240505,13,0,66,41,1,1,S,07,M,68,42,86,34,0,0,N
FCST,214201,240506,13,1,72,52,1,1,SE,14,M,73,51,77,34,0,0,N
FCST,214201,240507,13,2,68,54,1,1,SSW,16,M,73,58,87,48,9,0,N
FCST,214201,240508,13,2,62,58,1,1,NNW,11,M,70,50,83,45,0,0,N
FCST,471601,240502,13,8,51,80,1,2,E,10,M,59,42,93,55,0,5,Y
FCST,471601,240503,13,1,66,45,2,2,W,08,M,66,45,100,42,10,0,N
FCST,471601,240504,13,2,61,55,1,1,W,09,M,68,45,89,37,0,0,N
FCST,471601,240505,13,0,66,39,1,1,W,08,M,67,39,96,36,0,0,N
FCST,471601,240506,13,1,70,48,1,1,SSE,12,M,71,46,86,34,0,0,N
FCST,471601,240507,13,2,69,58,1,1,S,16,M,72,55,96,44,0,0,N
FCST,471601,240508,13,2,62,57,1,1,W,11,M,70,49,89,51,0,0,N
FCST,472201,240502,13,8,51,84,1,1,E,12,M,60,47,89,49,0,7,Y
FCST,472201,240503,13,1,66,45,1,1,WSW,10,M,66,45,100,43,4,0,N
FCST,472201,240504,13,1,59,58,1,1,NW,10,M,67,48,83,39,0,0,N
FCST,472201,240505,13,0,66,41,1,1,S,07,M,66,42,86,40,0,0,N
FCST,472201,240506,13,1,71,55,1,1,SE,14,M,71,50,74,39,0,0,N
FCST,472201,240507,13,2,68,55,1,1,S,16,M,72,58,86,51,0,0,N
FCST,472201,240508,13,2,62,58,1,1,WNW,11,M,68,50,83,52,0,0,N
FCST,472801,240502,13,8,52,79,1,3,E,12,M,61,47,83,51,0,6,Y
FCST,472801,240503,13,1,66,44,3,3,WNW,08,M,66,46,96,43,10,0,N
FCST,472801,240504,13,2,62,54,1,1,W,07,M,68,47,80,37,0,0,N
FCST,472801,240505,13,0,66,38,1,1,WNW,07,M,67,42,89,37,0,0,N
FCST,472801,240506,13,1,71,47,1,1,SE,14,M,71,48,77,36,0,0,N
FCST,472801,240507,13,2,70,54,1,1,S,17,M,73,58,86,46,0,0,N
FCST,472801,240508,13,2,64,53,1,1,WSW,12,M,71,51,83,47,0,0,N
FCST,472901,240502,13,8,54,80,1,3,E,11,M,63,48,83,50,0,7,Y
FCST,472901,240503,13,1,66,42,3,2,W,08,M,66,46,93,42,6,0,N
FCST,472901,240504,13,2,61,55,1,1,NW,09,M,69,49,80,36,0,0,N
FCST,472901,240505,13,1,68,38,1,1,SE,07,M,68,43,82,36,0,0,N
FCST,472901,240506,13,1,72,49,1,1,SE,14,M,72,50,74,35,0,0,N
FCST,472901,240507,13,2,70,52,1,1,SSW,16,M,73,60,81,48,0,0,N
FCST,472901,240508,13,2,63,54,1,1,W,11,M,71,52,77,47,0,0,N
