al fire
FNUS74 KMOB 290914
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for GUIS Naval Live Oaks...National Park Service
National Weather Service Mobile AL
414 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Southeast to southerly transport winds and breezy conditions
are expected into tonight, with a shift to more southwesterly along with
weakening for Tuesday. There is a small chance of mainly after showers and
thunderstorms. Good daytime dispersions are expected today.
Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 15 mph.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...549-671 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 24 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 9 to 11 meters/second.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 61 in the morning, then slowly decreasing
to 43 by evening.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....3.
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........29 43 57 57 57 57 54 50 47 57
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............72 74 75 76 76 76 76 76 76 76
RH..............84 79 79 79 79 82 82 79 79 79
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17
20 FT wind gust.26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 25 25
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8
Mix hgt (km)....0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE SE SSE SSE SE SE SSE SE SE SSE
Transp wind spd.24 23 22 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Trans wind dir..SE SE SSE SSE SE SE SSE SE SE SSE
Trans spd (m/s).11 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
Dispersion idx..51 60 47 42 40 43 47 45 43 43
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
showers in the evening, then chance of showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0100, then 2.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...244-549 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 24 mph decreasing to 12 to 14 mph
after 3 am.
Transport winds m/s.South 5 to 9 meters/second decreasing to 5 to 6
meters/second after 3 am.
Dispersion index....43 decreasing to 8.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........68 78 75 71 68 70 72 75 74 73 73 69
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 40 40 40 40 40
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2
Temp............75 74 74 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 72 71
RH..............82 84 84 93 93 93 90 90 90 90 90 93
20 FT wind dir..SE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE S S
20 FT wind spd..16 16 16 16 15 15 14 13 12 10 10 9
20 FT wind gust.24 23 23 23 23 22 21 20 18 16 15 14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8
Mix hgt (km)....0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
Transp wind dir.SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.18 17 18 20 22 23 24 23 16 14 12 12
Trans wind dir..SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S S
Trans spd (m/s).8 8 8 9 10 10 11 10 7 6 5 5
Dispersion idx..43 17 15 16 16 17 18 17 14 11 9 8
LVORI...........3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
in the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the day. Slight chance of showers in
the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...244-457 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 16 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 5 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 34.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....3.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........64 60 61 62 63 60 58 56 50 45 39 34
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 40 20 20 20 20 20
LAL.............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Temp............71 71 72 72 75 76 77 78 78 78 78 77
RH..............93 93 90 93 84 82 79 76 76 76 76 79
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S SSW SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..8 8 9 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 12
20 FT wind gust.13 13 14 15 16 17 17 17 17 17 17 16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S S SSW S S S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
Transp wind spd.12 12 13 13 16 14 14 15 15 15 15 15
Trans wind dir..S S SSW S S S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
Trans spd (m/s).5 5 6 6 7 6 6 7 7 7 7 7
Dispersion idx..8 10 15 18 25 29 31 33 33 32 31 31
LVORI...........7 6 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
$$
Forecaster...16
Requested by...Robert Vick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412531.7/MOB
.DELDT 04/29/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Robert_Vick@nps.gov,scworthi@gmail.com
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