nv discuss
Office: LKN
FXUS65 KLKN 281010
AFDLKN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
310 AM PDT Sun Apr 28 2024
.SYNOPSIS...Active upper pattern brings generally low
probabilities for rain showers and thunderstorms at times to
northern Nevada with breezy afternoon winds across the forecast
area thru most of the week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...Today through Monday Night
Generally fair weather expected today under partly cloudy skies
with westerly breezes also in place this afternoon. Gusts will be
around 20 mph. Daytime high temperatures reside in the mid 50s to
mid 60s with overnight lows mostly in the 30s.
Weather becomes a bit unsettled Monday as a strong cold front
moving thru the PacNW skirts northern NEvada. Main effects will be
gusty west/northwest winds with gusts 30 to 40 mph expected
across northern NEvada. Gusts across central Nevada range between
25 and 35 mph. Light valley rain showers and thunderstorms along
with mountain snow are also expected Monday afternoon in and near
Northern Elko County. Snow levels look to be around 6500 to 7000
feet. Accumulations will be light with valley rain totals less
than 0.10" and mountain snow totals around an inch or less.
Showers and winds dissipate thru the evening. Daytime high
temperatures will be in the 50s across northern Nevada and 60s
across central Nevada. Overnight lows range in the low 20s to low
30s.
.LONG TERM...Tuesday through next Saturday.
A series of shortwaves will move through the western U.S. early
to mid week. On Tuesday, isobaric packing across northern Nevada
will result in breezy to windy conditions. West to Northwesterly
winds 15-20 mph with gusts of 25-30 mph look likely during the
afternoon. AN isolated snow shower or two may occur in the
Jarbidge area in northern Elko county, with little to no
accumulations expected. Highs Tuesday are forecasted in the upper
50s to lower 60s, with lows in the upper 20s to low 30s.
Wednesday a positively tilted trough deepens over southern Idaho,
and northern Nevada. Slightly cooler air moves into the are due
to the troughs location. Highs are forecasted in the upper 40s to
lower 50s across northern Elko county, and mid to upper 50s
elsewhere. Lows are forecasted om the mid to upper 20s. Some
isolated to scattered snow showers will be possible across
northern Elko county again Wednesday. Some instability may
produce some thundersnow in the same areas during the afternoon.
Thursday through Saturday a weak ridge is modeled to grace the
state providing warming temperatures each day. By Saturday highs
are forecasted to range in the mid 70s. Overnight lows will also
warm, into the 30s and low 40s. The ensembles are having some
notable spread by day 7-8.
&&
.AVIATION...VFR conditions expected at all terminals over the
next 24 hours. Partly to mostly cloudy skies today with relatively
light winds of 5-10kts.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...Elevated flows continue across many streams, creeks,
and rivers throughout northern and central Nevada due to snow
melt and recent rainfall. Cooler temperatures are expected the
next few days, including freezing temperatures at night at higher
elevations, which will likely slow high elevation snow melt.
There will be opportunities for light rain and higher elevation
snow showers across northern Nevada through the first half of the
week but hydrologic impact should be minimal as wetting rains are
not expected.
The Bruneau River is currently in action stage and will likely remain
in action stage for the next several days.
The Humboldt River at Battle Mountain is currently in minor flood
stage and is forecast to gradually rise in the coming days,
remaining in minor flood stage.
The Humboldt River at Comus is currently in minor flood stage and
is forecast to gradually rise in the coming days, remaining in
minor flood stage.
The Owyhee River near Wildhorse is currently in action stage and is
forecast to gradually fall over the next several days, remaining
in action stage.
The Owyhee River near Mountain City is currently in minor flood
stage. The river is forecast to gradually fall below minor flood
stage late this week.
Wildhorse Dam is expected to slowly fall over the next several
days, remaining in action stage.
The Mary's River near Deeth is currently in action stage and is
forecast to slowly recede over the next several days.
&&
.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&
$$
92/91/96
Office: VEF
FXUS65 KVEF 280758
AFDVEF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
1258 AM PDT Sun Apr 28 2024
.SYNOPSIS...A warming trend will occur the next few days with light
winds today followed by afternoon southwest breezes Monday and
Tuesday. A mid-week system brings a brief cooldown and north winds,
but warming quickly resumes to end the week.
&&
.SHORT TERM...through Monday.
Warm temperatures and light winds are in store for our region today
as we sit under a slight ridge ahead of a trough approaching the
Pacific Northwest. The base of that trough will brush the northern
Great Basin on Monday resulting in afternoon southwest breezes 15-25
mph. Temperatures will climb 4-5 degrees each day leading to highs
in the 80s today and in the mid 80s to lower 90s on Monday across
the desert zones.
.LONG TERM...Tuesday through Saturday.
Trough across the PacNW and northern Rockies Tuesday will amplify,
digging southeast across Nevada and Utah Wednesday-Thursday. South
to southwest winds on Tuesday will shift from the north Wednesday
into Thursday with the passage of a dry cold front. The strongest
period of gusts will occur behind the front Thursday. Other than
Thursday's brief cooldown, temperatures for the week will be running
about 5 to 8 degrees above normal.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.
&&
.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...No significant impacts expected today
as a southwest wind around 5 kts become north to northeast after 16z
this morning. Wind speeds will generally remain around 7 kts or
less. After 21z, look for winds to become light and variable before
becoming southwest around 7 kts after sunset. Just a FEW clouds over
the higher terrain this afternoon.
For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...Gusty west winds will continue through the overnight
period near KDAG with speeds between 10-20 kts. These winds will
gradually diminish through mid-day becoming light and variable this
afternoon. Elsewhere, look for typical diurnal winds less than 10
kts. Just a FEW afternoon clouds over the higher terrain. &&
$$
SHORT TERM...Adair
LONG TERM...Pierce
AVIATION...Gorelow
For more forecast information...see us on our webpage:
https://weather.gov/lasvegas or follow us on Facebook and Twitter
Office: REV
FXUS65 KREV 280726
AFDREV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
1226 AM PDT Sun Apr 28 2024
.SYNOPSIS...
Mild weather will continue today. A couple of dry cold frontal
passages will bring cooler weather and breezy winds Monday through
Wednesday. Otherwise, this week will be dry and seasonably warm
with increasing shower chances next weekend.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
After a cool, wet Friday, we dried out and warmed back up
to average temperatures on Saturday. Our warmup continues today
as a weak ridge moves into the region. High temperatures will
increase around 2-5 degrees, also ending up about 2-5 degrees
above average for late April. Skies will become mostly clear by
the late morning, along with typical westerly breezes this
afternoon. Overall, it will be a very nice Sunday.
On Monday, a trough will move into the Pac NW with a weak dry
front moving through northeast CA/northern NV. For northern
Washoe, northern Lassen, and the Surprise Valley temperatures will
fall around 5-10 degrees, ending up roughly 4-8 degrees below
average. Elsewhere, temperatures will fall to around average for
southern Lassen County through the greater Lake Tahoe region, as
well as into the Reno metro area. This front will have little
effect on temperatures in Mono and Mineral counties, where
readings will remain near to slightly above average. North to
northwest winds will become breezy during Monday afternoon with
this front, with gusts upwards of 30-40 mph from the early
afternoon into the evening. A slight 2-4 degree warmup is
anticipated for Tuesday, with breezy west/northwest winds once
again during the afternoon and evening.
A further cooldown is in store on Wednesday as a trough and cold
front drops south through Great Basin, shifting winds to the
north. Temperatures will tumble around 5-10 degrees (except
remaining at already cool levels near the OR border), leaving the
region below average for the first day of May. The trough moves
east Thursday with weak ridging returning through early Saturday,
followed by some increased winds as the ridge shifts to the east.
Blended guidance warms temperatures back above seasonal averages
especially Friday and Saturday. By the end of next weekend, the
ensembles fall further out of agreement with either a deep upper
low, or more zonal flow/weak ridging. The next chances of
precipitation could also return by next Saturday night and Sunday,
but confidence remains low.
-McKellar
&&
.AVIATION...
* Widespread VFR conditions prevail through the next few days.
Today's winds will be generally light for the Tahoe area
terminals, with typical west breezes (gusts around 20 kt)
between 21Z-04Z for the other eastern CA and far western NV
terminals.
* A dry cold front will induce a wind shift (W to NW/N) Monday
afternoon, so there may be an attendant increase in LLWS during
this time frame. In addition, sustained west/northwest winds of
15-20 kts with gusts up to 30 kts are expected for the western
NV terminals. Meanwhile, Sierra terminals will see sustained
west winds of 10-15 kts with gusts to 20 kts.
-McKellar
&&
.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&
$$
